Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 651
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Minnesota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 515 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A small thunderstorm cluster should continue moving
east-southeastward this afternoon and evening while posing a threat
for mainly severe/damaging winds around 60-70 mph. Isolated
significant gusts to 75 mph, along with large hail around 1-2 inches
in diameter, may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Mankato MN to 80 miles east northeast of Minneapolis MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...WW 650...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Gleason
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 651
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Minnesota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 515 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A small thunderstorm cluster should continue moving
east-southeastward this afternoon and evening while posing a threat
for mainly severe/damaging winds around 60-70 mph. Isolated
significant gusts to 75 mph, along with large hail around 1-2 inches
in diameter, may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Mankato MN to 80 miles east northeast of Minneapolis MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...WW 650...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 651 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 262215Z - 270400Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WNW MKT/MANKATO MN/ - 80ENE MSP/MINNEAPOLIS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /16E RWF - 26NNW EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 45059476 45899170 44739170 43899476
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 651 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 651
VALID 270225Z - 270400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N RST TO
40 NW EAU TO 65 S DLH.
WW 651 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270400Z.
..SQUITIERI..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC005-017-033-035-091-107-270400-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON CHIPPEWA DUNN
EAU CLAIRE PEPIN RUSK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 651
VALID 270145Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW RST TO
35 NE MSP TO 60 NNE MSP.
..SQUITIERI..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC049-270240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOODHUE
$$
WIC005-017-033-035-091-093-095-107-109-270240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON CHIPPEWA DUNN
EAU CLAIRE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RUSK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 651
VALID 270100Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE MKT
TO 5 W MSP TO 30 E STC.
..SQUITIERI..08/27/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-025-037-049-059-123-131-163-270240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CHISAGO DAKOTA
GOODHUE ISANTI RAMSEY
RICE WASHINGTON
$$
WIC005-017-033-035-091-093-095-107-109-270240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON CHIPPEWA DUNN
EAU CLAIRE PEPIN PIERCE
POLK RUSK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 651
VALID 270000Z - 270140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE RWF TO
35 NNW MKT TO 10 S STC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2004
..SQUITIERI..08/26/24
ATTN...WFO...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-013-019-025-037-049-053-059-079-085-103-123-131-139-143-
161-163-270140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH CARVER
CHISAGO DAKOTA GOODHUE
HENNEPIN ISANTI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD NICOLLET RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SIBLEY
WASECA WASHINGTON
$$
WIC005-033-091-093-095-109-270140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON DUNN PEPIN
PIERCE POLK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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