Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 649
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should continue
to develop across far southeast North Dakota into central Minnesota,
where the air mass continues to become very unstable.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Ortonville MN to 35 miles northeast of Saint Cloud MN.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Guyer
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 649
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should continue
to develop across far southeast North Dakota into central Minnesota,
where the air mass continues to become very unstable.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Ortonville MN to 35 miles northeast of Saint Cloud MN.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 649 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 261940Z - 270200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NNW VVV/ORTONVILLE MN/ - 35NE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /67S FAR - 34SE BRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 46519662 46789354 45049354 44789662
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 649 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 649
VALID 262325Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE RWF
TO 20 ESE AXN TO 45 ESE BRD.
..SQUITIERI..08/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC009-065-093-095-141-145-171-270040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON KANABEC MEEKER
MILLE LACS SHERBURNE STEARNS
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 649
VALID 262240Z - 262340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW VVV TO
30 NNE BRD.
..THORNTON..08/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-021-023-035-041-065-067-073-093-095-097-121-141-
145-149-151-153-155-171-173-262340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CASS CHIPPEWA CROW WING
DOUGLAS KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LAC QUI PARLE MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON POPE SHERBURNE
STEARNS STEVENS SWIFT
TODD TRAVERSE WRIGHT
YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 649
VALID 262140Z - 262240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..08/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-021-023-035-041-051-065-067-073-093-095-097-111-
121-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-167-171-173-262240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CASS CHIPPEWA CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT KANABEC
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON OTTER TAIL
POPE SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN
WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NDC077-262240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 649
VALID 262045Z - 262140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2000
..WENDT..08/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-021-023-035-041-051-065-067-073-093-095-097-111-
121-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-167-171-173-262140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CASS CHIPPEWA CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT KANABEC
KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON OTTER TAIL
POPE SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN
WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
NDC077-262140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
