Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 686
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
750 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Florida
Southern Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 750 PM
until 600 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely
SUMMARY...Low-topped supercells in the outer rain bands of Hurricane
Helene will continue to pose a threat for several tornadoes this
evening and continuing into the overnight hours across much of
Florida and southern Georgia.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Waycross GA to 15
miles west southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 683...WW 684...WW 685...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 19050.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 686 TORNADO FL GA CW 262350Z - 271000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW AYS/WAYCROSS GA/ - 15WSW AGR/AVON PARK FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /28WNW AMG - 54E SRQ/
WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19050.
LAT...LON 31758181 27568041 27568270 31758419
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 686 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 686
VALID 270830Z - 270940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW VDI TO
45 S AYS TO 55 NE SGJ.
..BROYLES..09/27/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC089-270940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NASSAU
$$
GAC001-005-025-039-049-127-161-229-299-305-270940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING BACON BRANTLEY
CAMDEN CHARLTON GLYNN
JEFF DAVIS PIERCE WARE
WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-470-270940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 686
VALID 270625Z - 270740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E DAB TO
30 WNW DAB TO 30 N GNV TO 40 WSW VDI.
..BROYLES..09/27/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC003-007-019-031-035-089-107-109-125-270740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BRADFORD CLAY
DUVAL FLAGLER NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC001-005-025-039-049-127-161-229-299-305-270740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING BACON BRANTLEY
CAMDEN CHARLTON GLYNN
JEFF DAVIS PIERCE WARE
WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-550-270740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 686
VALID 270545Z - 270640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..09/27/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-009-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-041-047-049-
053-055-057-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-089-095-097-101-103-
105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-270640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS
CLAY COLUMBIA DESOTO
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HARDEE
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE
LEE LEVY MADISON
MANATEE MARION NASSAU
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION VOLUSIA
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-101-127-
155-161-173-185-229-275-277-287-299-305-321-270640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK ECHOLS GLYNN
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LOWNDES PIERCE THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WARE
WAYNE WORTH
$$
AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-550-552-GMZ730-765-830-836-850-853-856-
270640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 686
VALID 270320Z - 270440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..09/27/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-009-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-041-047-049-
053-055-057-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-089-095-097-101-103-
105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-270440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
BREVARD CHARLOTTE CITRUS
CLAY COLUMBIA DESOTO
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HARDEE
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE
LEE LEVY MADISON
MANATEE MARION NASSAU
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION VOLUSIA
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-101-127-
155-161-173-185-229-275-277-287-299-305-321-270440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BRANTLEY
BROOKS CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK ECHOLS GLYNN
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS LANIER
LOWNDES PIERCE THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WARE
WAYNE WORTH
$$
AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-550-552-GMZ730-765-830-836-850-853-856-
270440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.