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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 587
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Kansas
Western into Central and Northern Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 935 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A severe squall line will move from west to east across
the Watch area tonight. Severe gusts 60-80 mph are the primary
hazard with the stronger outflow surges.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest
of Chillicothe MO to 55 miles southwest of Knob Noster MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 582...WW 583...WW
584...WW 585...WW 586...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27040.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 587 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 010235Z - 010800Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNW CDJ/CHILLICOTHE MO/ - 55SW SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /56W IRK - 13ESE BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
LAT...LON 40219238 38159289 38159565 40219522
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 587 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 587
VALID 010630Z - 010740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W JEF TO
35 WNW COU TO 40 NNW COU.
..GRAMS..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 587
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC053-089-121-175-010740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOPER HOWARD MACON
RANDOLPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 587
VALID 010535Z - 010640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE CNU
TO 15 NNW OJC TO 35 N SZL TO 30 NE CDJ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1781.
..GRAMS..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 587
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-107-121-010640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC001-013-015-033-037-041-053-083-089-095-101-107-115-121-141-
159-175-185-195-211-010640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES BENTON
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
COOPER HENRY HOWARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LINN MACON MORGAN
PETTIS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SALINE SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 587
VALID 010435Z - 010540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOP TO
25 NNE MKC TO 25 SSW LWD.
..BROYLES..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 587
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-103-107-121-209-010540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LINN
MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-013-015-025-033-037-041-047-053-061-079-083-089-095-101-
107-115-117-121-141-159-175-177-185-195-197-211-010540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES BENTON
CALDWELL CARROLL CASS
CHARITON CLAY COOPER
DAVIESS GRUNDY HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MORGAN PETTIS
RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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