Mesoscale Discussion 1781
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1111 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

   Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northwest and North-central
   Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583...587...

   Valid 010411Z - 010615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583, 587
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A wind-damage threat is expected to continue for a few
   more hours across parts of the lower Missouri Valley, as an MCS
   moves eastward.

   DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Kansas City
   shows a severe bowing line segment over the Kansas City Metro.
   Within the last hour, the line has been moving east at about 40
   knots. This storm motion contributed to very strong wind gusts in
   the Kansas City Metro, with several reports of winds in the 60 to 80
   mph range. The bowing line segment is moving into a pocket of strong
   instability, with the RAP estimating MLCAPE around 4000 J/kg across
   much of north-central Missouri. The instability, along with
   large-scale ascent associated with a shortwave trough in eastern
   parts of the central Plains, are providing support for the linear
   MCS. Due to the instability, the MCS may remain organized for a few
   more hours. It will continue to move eastward across northwestern
   and north-central Missouri, where there will be potential for wind
   gusts in the 60 to 80 mph range.

   ..Broyles.. 08/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   40159453 39919489 39599502 39209499 38829468 38739322
               38819224 39109173 39919180 40189241 40219318 40239386
               40159453