Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 583
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northeast Kansas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning from
550 PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of organizing severe thunderstorms across
northern Kansas will gradually move into the Watch area this
evening. Upscale growth into one or two linear clusters is
forecast. Severe gusts (60-80 mph) and large to very large hail (1
to 2 inches in diameter) will be the primary hazards with the
stronger storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles west southwest
of Russell KS to 25 miles north northeast of Topeka KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 579...WW 580...WW
581...WW 582...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28015.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 583 SEVERE TSTM KS 312250Z - 010600Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
85WSW RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 25NNE TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /35NE GCK - 33WNW MCI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
LAT...LON 38960027 39989544 38839544 37800027
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 583 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 583
VALID 010530Z - 010600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S RSL TO
35 WNW HUT TO 15 NNW HUT.
WW 583 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 010600Z.
..GRAMS..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 583
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC079-155-010600-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARVEY RENO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 583
VALID 010440Z - 010540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE GCK
TO 40 W EMP TO 10 NE EMP TO 15 W FLV.
..BROYLES..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 583
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-017-031-045-059-079-113-115-139-155-159-010540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CHASE COFFEY
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN HARVEY
MCPHERSON MARION OSAGE
RENO RICE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 583
VALID 010230Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE GCK
TO 15 NNE MHK TO 20 SE BIE.
..WEINMAN..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 583
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-009-013-017-031-041-045-053-059-061-079-085-087-111-113-
115-127-131-139-145-149-155-159-161-169-177-185-197-010340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BARTON BROWN
CHASE COFFEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GEARY HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE
RENO RICE RILEY
SALINE SHAWNEE STAFFORD
WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 583
VALID 010050Z - 010140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1777
..WEINMAN..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 583
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-027-041-051-053-061-085-101-105-113-115-127-131-135-143-
145-149-159-161-165-167-169-177-185-195-197-010140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CLAY DICKINSON
ELLIS ELLSWORTH GEARY
JACKSON LANE LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MARION MORRIS
NEMAHA NESS OTTAWA
PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE RICE
RILEY RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE SHAWNEE STAFFORD
TREGO WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.