Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern into Western Minnesota
Northeast South Dakota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 655 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will
likely persist into the mid to late evening across the Watch area.
Severe gusts (60-75 mph) capable of wind damage appear to be the
primary hazard, but large hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter) is also
possible with the stronger thunderstorm cores.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Watertown SD to 55 miles east of Rochester MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 579...WW 580...WW
581...WW 582...WW 583...WW 584...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Smith
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern into Western Minnesota
Northeast South Dakota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 655 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will
likely persist into the mid to late evening across the Watch area.
Severe gusts (60-75 mph) capable of wind damage appear to be the
primary hazard, but large hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter) is also
possible with the stronger thunderstorm cores.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Watertown SD to 55 miles east of Rochester MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 579...WW 580...WW
581...WW 582...WW 583...WW 584...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 585 SEVERE TSTM MN SD WI 312355Z - 010600Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20N ATY/WATERTOWN SD/ - 55E RST/ROCHESTER MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /53ESE ABR - 3E ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 45869715 44579139 43269139 44569715
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 585 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 585
VALID 010535Z - 010600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE MCW
TO 40 NW RST TO 30 NNW LSE.
WW 585 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 010600Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1782.
..GRAMS..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC039-045-055-099-109-157-169-010600-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FILLMORE HOUSTON
MOWER OLMSTED WABASHA
WINONA
$$
WIC011-121-010600-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 585
VALID 010530Z - 010600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW RST TO
40 NW RST TO 35 NNW LSE.
WW 585 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 010600Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1781
.
..GRAMS..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC039-045-055-099-109-157-169-010600-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FILLMORE HOUSTON
MOWER OLMSTED WABASHA
WINONA
$$
WIC011-121-010600-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 585
VALID 010440Z - 010540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE FRM
TO 30 SSW MSP TO 15 SSW EAU.
..BROYLES..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC039-043-045-047-049-055-099-109-131-147-157-161-169-010540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON
MOWER OLMSTED RICE
STEELE WABASHA WASECA
WINONA
$$
WIC011-121-010540-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 585
VALID 010245Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N OTG TO
20 E RWF TO 20 SSW STC.
..BROYLES..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-015-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-055-079-085-091-099-103-
109-131-139-143-147-157-161-165-169-010340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
HOUSTON LE SUEUR MCLEOD
MARTIN MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WATONWAN WINONA
$$
WIC011-121-010340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 585
VALID 010025Z - 010140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-013-015-019-023-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-055-067-073-
079-085-091-099-103-109-121-127-129-131-139-143-147-149-151-157-
161-165-169-173-010140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHIPPEWA DAKOTA
DODGE DOUGLAS FARIBAULT
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
HOUSTON KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED
POPE REDWOOD RENVILLE
RICE SCOTT SIBLEY
STEELE STEVENS SWIFT
WABASHA WASECA WATONWAN
WINONA YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
SDC029-039-051-057-010140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CODINGTON DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN
$$
WIC011-121-010140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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