Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 582
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southwest Iowa
Northern Kansas
South-Cenntral into Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 300 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to increase in coverage and
intensity this afternoon as the move generally eastward. With a
favorable environment in place, severe/damaging winds up to 65-80
mph appear likely. Some hail around 1-2 inches in diameter may also
occur with any sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles east of Hill
City KS to 45 miles northwest of Omaha NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 579...WW 580...WW 581...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Gleason
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 582
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southwest Iowa
Northern Kansas
South-Cenntral into Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 300 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to increase in coverage and
intensity this afternoon as the move generally eastward. With a
favorable environment in place, severe/damaging winds up to 65-80
mph appear likely. Some hail around 1-2 inches in diameter may also
occur with any sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles east of Hill
City KS to 45 miles northwest of Omaha NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 579...WW 580...WW 581...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 582 SEVERE TSTM IA KS NE 312000Z - 010300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55E HLC/HILL CITY KS/ - 45NW OMA/OMAHA NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /61WNW SLN - 50NW OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 39370030 41759807 41759497 39379730
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 582 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 582
VALID 010050Z - 010140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW CNK TO
35 SW BIE TO 30 ESE BIE.
..WEINMAN..08/01/24
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 582
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-117-201-010140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD MARSHALL WASHINGTON
$$
NEC133-010140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PAWNEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 582
VALID 312330Z - 010040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW EAR TO
20 N FNB TO 30 WNW TQE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1775
..WEINMAN..07/31/24
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 582
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-010040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC029-039-065-089-117-123-137-141-147-157-163-179-183-201-
010040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR GRAHAM
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE PHILLIPS
REPUBLIC ROOKS SHERIDAN
SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC025-055-061-067-083-095-129-133-153-169-177-181-010040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GAGE HARLAN JEFFERSON
NUCKOLLS PAWNEE SARPY
THAYER WASHINGTON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 582
VALID 312235Z - 312340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW EAR
TO 45 WSW LNK TO 15 N TQE.
..WEINMAN..07/31/24
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 582
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-312340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC029-039-065-089-117-123-137-141-147-157-163-179-183-201-
312340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR GRAHAM
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE PHILLIPS
REPUBLIC ROOKS SHERIDAN
SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC001-025-035-053-055-059-061-065-067-083-095-097-099-109-127-
129-131-133-137-151-153-155-159-169-177-181-312340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CASS CLAY
DODGE DOUGLAS FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FURNAS GAGE
HARLAN JEFFERSON JOHNSON
KEARNEY LANCASTER NEMAHA
NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE
PHELPS SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD THAYER
WASHINGTON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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