Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 564
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
Northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1020 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms will persist for a few
more hours, tracking eastward into west central Minnesota. Damaging
wind gusts are the main concern with these storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast
of Fargo ND to 20 miles west southwest of Ortonville MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...WW 562...WW 563...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 564
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
Northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1020 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of intense thunderstorms will persist for a few
more hours, tracking eastward into west central Minnesota. Damaging
wind gusts are the main concern with these storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast
of Fargo ND to 20 miles west southwest of Ortonville MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...WW 562...WW 563...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 564 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD 300320Z - 300800Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNE FAR/FARGO ND/ - 20WSW VVV/ORTONVILLE MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /27NNE FAR - 68E ABR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 47189549 45199567 45199793 47189783
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 564 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 564
VALID 300735Z - 300800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE VVV
TO 25 NNW AXN TO 30 NNE DTL.
WW 564 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300800Z.
..GRAMS..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 564
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-041-111-121-151-300800-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER DOUGLAS OTTER TAIL
POPE SWIFT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 564
VALID 300655Z - 300740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE VVV TO
30 S DTL TO 30 NW DTL.
..GRAMS..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 564
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-041-051-111-121-149-151-300740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER DOUGLAS GRANT
OTTER TAIL POPE STEVENS
SWIFT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 564
VALID 300535Z - 300640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE ABR
TO 60 NW VVV TO 25 NW FAR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1735.
..GRAMS..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 564
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-041-051-111-121-149-151-155-167-300640-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
DOUGLAS GRANT OTTER TAIL
POPE STEVENS SWIFT
TRAVERSE WILKIN
$$
NDC017-077-300640-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RICHLAND
$$
SDC037-051-109-300640-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAY GRANT ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 564
VALID 300450Z - 300540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E JMS TO
30 NW FAR.
..KERR..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 564
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-041-051-111-121-149-151-155-167-300540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
DOUGLAS GRANT OTTER TAIL
POPE STEVENS SWIFT
TRAVERSE WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-300540-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
SDC037-051-091-109-300540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAY GRANT MARSHALL
ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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