Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 562
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
850 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Illinois
Central and Southern Indiana
Northern Kentucky
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 850 PM
until 400 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop this evening in a
moist and unstable air mass across much of central Illinois and
Indiana. Those storms will track southeastward across the watch
area. Locally damaging wind gusts are the main concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of
Decatur IL to 45 miles northeast of Louisville KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 561...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 562 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY 300050Z - 300800Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50SW DEC/DECATUR IL/ - 45NE SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /40SW AXC - 31SW CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 40408953 39728514 37558514 38238953
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 562 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 562
VALID 300655Z - 300740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE OWB
TO 35 N SDF TO 45 NE SDF.
..GRAMS..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC165-199-300740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SALINE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC019-043-061-077-143-300740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD HARRISON
JEFFERSON SCOTT
$$
KYC005-017-029-049-067-073-093-097-103-111-113-151-163-167-179-
181-185-209-211-215-223-229-239-300740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOURBON BULLITT
CLARK FAYETTE FRANKLIN
HARDIN HARRISON HENRY
JEFFERSON JESSAMINE MADISON
MEADE MERCER NELSON
NICHOLAS OLDHAM SCOTT
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 562
VALID 300535Z - 300640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE BLV TO
10 WSW EVV TO 30 S BMG TO 45 NE SDF.
..GRAMS..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC055-059-065-081-145-165-189-193-199-300640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON PERRY SALINE
WASHINGTON WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC019-025-043-061-077-093-117-123-129-143-147-163-173-175-
300640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD FLOYD
HARRISON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
ORANGE PERRY POSEY
SCOTT SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC027-029-059-091-093-101-103-111-123-149-163-179-185-211-215-
223-225-233-300640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT DAVIESS
HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON
HENRY JEFFERSON LARUE
MCLEAN MEADE NELSON
OLDHAM SHELBY SPENCER
TRIMBLE UNION WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 562
VALID 300450Z - 300540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE ALN
TO 20 ESE SLO TO 20 N EVV TO 20 S BMG TO 45 N SDF TO 40 W LUK.
..KERR..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-027-047-055-059-065-081-121-145-165-189-191-193-199-
300540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CLINTON EDWARDS
FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON MARION PERRY
SALINE WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC019-025-037-043-051-061-077-093-101-117-123-125-129-143-147-
163-173-175-300540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS
FLOYD GIBSON HARRISON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MARTIN
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY SCOTT SPENCER
VANDERBURGH WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC027-029-059-091-093-101-103-111-123-149-163-179-185-211-215-
223-225-233-300540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT DAVIESS
HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON
HENRY JEFFERSON LARUE
MCLEAN MEADE NELSON
OLDHAM SHELBY SPENCER
TRIMBLE UNION WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 562
VALID 300335Z - 300440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE SPI
TO 55 NNW EVV TO 20 WNW BMG TO 35 SE IND TO 40 SSE MIE.
..KERR..07/30/24
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 562
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-025-027-047-051-065-081-101-121-135-159-185-189-191-193-
300440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CLAY CLINTON
EDWARDS FAYETTE HAMILTON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MARION
MONTGOMERY RICHLAND WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-031-037-043-051-055-061-071-077-079-083-
093-101-105-117-119-123-125-129-143-147-153-163-173-175-
300440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR
DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON
GREENE HARRISON JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN MONROE
ORANGE OWEN PERRY
PIKE POSEY SCOTT
SPENCER SULLIVAN VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC027-029-059-091-093-101-103-111-123-163-179-185-211-215-223-
300440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT DAVIESS
HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON
HENRY JEFFERSON LARUE
MEADE NELSON OLDHAM
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.