Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 674
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM MDT Tue Sep 17 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-Central and Southeast Colorado
Eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until
700 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms that have developed over the higher terrain
of the southern/central Rockies will continue to move quickly
east-northeastward this afternoon and early evening. They should
also intensify over the next several hours while posing a threat for
mainly severe damaging winds up to 65-75 mph. Isolated large hail
around 1-1.5 inches in diameter may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Pueblo CO to 5 miles southwest of Roswell NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 674 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 171845Z - 180100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ENE PUB/PUEBLO CO/ - 5SW ROW/ROSWELL NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /27ENE PUB - 6SSE CME/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 38470279 33230355 33230563 38470501
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 674 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 674
VALID 172150Z - 172240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..09/17/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 674
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC003-009-011-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-071-089-099-101-
109-119-172240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMOSA BACA BENT
CONEJOS COSTILLA CROWLEY
CUSTER EL PASO FREMONT
HUERFANO KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
SAGUACHE TELLER
$$
NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-059-172240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES COLFAX CURRY
DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING
LINCOLN MORA QUAY
ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL TAOS
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 674
VALID 172035Z - 172140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..09/17/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 674
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC003-009-011-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-071-089-099-101-
109-119-172140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMOSA BACA BENT
CONEJOS COSTILLA CROWLEY
CUSTER EL PASO FREMONT
HUERFANO KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
SAGUACHE TELLER
$$
NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-055-059-172140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES COLFAX CURRY
DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING
LINCOLN MORA QUAY
ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL TAOS
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.