Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 14
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
940 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern North Carolina
Southeast Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 940 AM until
300 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving convective line will move east across the
Watch area. Scattered damaging gusts will be the primary severe
hazard before the severe threat moves east of the coast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northeast
of Elizabeth City NC to 35 miles southwest of Wilmington NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 300. Mean storm motion vector
26050.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 14 SEVERE TSTM NC VA CW 161440Z - 162000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNE ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/ - 35SW ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /16E ORF - 35SW ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.
LAT...LON 36867460 33917711 33917955 36867712
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 14 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 14
VALID 161710Z - 161840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E ECG TO
20 SSE ORF TO 10 N ORF.
..KERR..02/16/25
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
AMZ136-ANZ632-634-656-161840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 14
VALID 161635Z - 161740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW ILM TO
20 WNW EWN TO 25 SW ECG TO ORF.
..KERR..02/16/25
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-019-031-049-053-055-095-129-133-137-139-141-177-187-
161740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BRUNSWICK CARTERET
CRAVEN CURRITUCK DARE
HYDE NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
VAC199-650-700-710-735-740-810-161740-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH VIRGINIA BEACH
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-ANZ632-633-
634-637-638-656-658-161740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK VA TO CAPE HENRY VA INCLUDING
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMES RIVER BRIDGE TO HAMPTON ROADS
BRIDGE-TUNNEL
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO VIRGINIA-NORTH CAROLINA
BORDER OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 14
VALID 161540Z - 161640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW CRE TO
15 ENE GSB TO 45 E RZZ TO 35 W ORF.
..KERR..02/16/25
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-041-047-049-053-055-061-073-079-091-
095-103-107-117-129-133-137-139-141-143-147-177-187-161640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN
BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CARTERET
CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
GATES GREENE HERTFORD
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PITT TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC093-175-199-550-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-161640-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ISLE OF WIGHT SOUTHAMPTON YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE FRANKLIN HAMPTON
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-ANZ632-633-
634-637-638-656-658-161640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK VA TO CAPE HENRY VA INCLUDING
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMES RIVER BRIDGE TO HAMPTON ROADS
BRIDGE-TUNNEL
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO VIRGINIA-NORTH CAROLINA
BORDER OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.