Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
South-Central Kansas
Western into Central/North-Central Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Developing supercells will pose a threat for large to very
large hail initially (up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter). Later this
afternoon into the evening, the threat for a few tornadoes will
increase. A strong tornado or two appears possible, especially early
this evening. Scattered severe/damaging winds will also become a
concern later this evening as thunderstorms eventually form into a
line.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Hutchinson KS to
35 miles east of Clinton OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Gleason
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
South-Central Kansas
Western into Central/North-Central Oklahoma
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Developing supercells will pose a threat for large to very
large hail initially (up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter). Later this
afternoon into the evening, the threat for a few tornadoes will
increase. A strong tornado or two appears possible, especially early
this evening. Scattered severe/damaging winds will also become a
concern later this evening as thunderstorms eventually form into a
line.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Hutchinson KS to
35 miles east of Clinton OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 694 TORNADO KS OK 301905Z - 310200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/ - 35E CSM/CLINTON OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /32SSE SLN - 48W OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38419640 35329760 35329955 38419843
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 694 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 694
VALID 310140Z - 310240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CSM
TO 15 S PNC.
..GRAMS..10/31/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-051-073-083-087-103-109-119-310240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
GRADY KINGFISHER LOGAN
MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 694
VALID 310035Z - 310140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E CSM TO
5 S PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170.
..GRAMS..10/31/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-047-051-073-083-087-103-109-119-149-310140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND GARFIELD GRADY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MCCLAIN
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
WASHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 694
VALID 302325Z - 310040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E CSM TO
30 W PNC TO 35 SW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2167.
..GRAMS..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-035-310040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER COWLEY
$$
OKC011-015-017-027-047-051-071-073-083-087-103-109-119-149-
310040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND GARFIELD GRADY
KAY KINGFISHER LOGAN
MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE WASHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 694
VALID 302220Z - 302340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW CSM TO
40 NNE CSM TO 25 W END TO 30 E AVK TO 25 WSW ICT TO 40 ENE HUT TO
30 WNW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2166
..THORNTON..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-173-191-302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC011-015-017-027-039-047-051-053-071-073-083-087-103-109-119-
149-302340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND CUSTER GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MCCLAIN
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
WASHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 694
VALID 302120Z - 302240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW CSM
TO 45 N CSM TO 10 S AVK TO 20 NNE P28 TO 25 ESE SLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2166
..THORNTON..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-077-079-095-115-173-191-302240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MARION SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-027-039-043-047-051-053-071-073-083-087-093-
103-109-119-149-302240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRADY
GRANT KAY KINGFISHER
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
WASHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 694
VALID 302055Z - 302140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW CSM
TO 25 NNW CSM TO 40 SSW AVK TO 20 WSW AVK TO 20 SW P28 TO 30 SW
HUT TO 15 SSE SLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2166
..BENTLEY..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-035-077-079-095-115-155-173-191-302140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
COWLEY HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN MARION RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-027-039-043-047-051-053-071-073-083-087-093-
103-109-119-149-151-302140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRADY
GRANT KAY KINGFISHER
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
WASHITA WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 694
VALID 302010Z - 302140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW P28 TO
25 WNW HUT TO 10 S SLN.
..BENTLEY..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-017-035-077-079-095-115-151-155-173-191-302140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHASE
COWLEY HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN MARION PRATT
RENO SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-027-039-043-047-051-053-071-073-083-087-093-
103-109-119-149-151-153-302140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRADY
GRANT KAY KINGFISHER
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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