Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 695
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Kansas
Western Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 435 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Fast moving thunderstorms over eastern Kansas will track
across the watch area through this evening. Damaging winds and a
few tornadoes are the primary concerns with these storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Chanute KS
to 60 miles north northeast of Saint Joseph MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693...WW 694...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 695 TORNADO KS MO 302135Z - 310300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SSW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 60NNE STJ/SAINT JOSEPH MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /31WSW OSW - 64SW DSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37009700 40569572 40569324 37009465
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 695 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 695
VALID 310300Z - 310440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BVO TO
10 S CNU TO 40 N JLN TO 15 WSW SZL TO 30 SE OTM.
..LYONS..10/31/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC099-125-133-310440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
$$
MOC013-041-083-101-159-195-310440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES CHARITON HENRY
JOHNSON PETTIS SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 695
VALID 310225Z - 310340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW BVO TO
5 SW CNU TO 30 SSE OJC TO 15 SSW CDJ TO 30 SSW OTM.
..LYONS..10/31/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-099-107-121-125-133-205-310340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LABETTE LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC011-013-025-033-037-041-083-095-097-101-107-115-117-145-159-
177-195-217-310340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CHARITON
HENRY JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON NEWTON PETTIS
RAY SALINE VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 695
VALID 310105Z - 310240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW BVO TO
25 WSW CNU TO 15 SW FLV TO 15 ESE STJ TO 20 N LWD.
..LYONS..10/31/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-019-021-037-059-091-099-103-107-121-125-133-205-
207-209-310240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC011-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-081-095-097-145-165-
177-217-310240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER NEWTON PLATTE
RAY VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 695
VALID 302335Z - 310040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW EMP
TO 20 N TOP TO 35 N STJ TO 35 NW LWD.
..LYONS..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-011-019-021-031-037-043-045-049-059-073-087-091-
099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-310040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY CRAWFORD DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS ELK FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MIAMI MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO OSAGE SHAWNEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-
165-177-217-227-310040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY HARRISON
HOLT JACKSON NODAWAY
PLATTE RAY VERNON
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 695
VALID 302225Z - 302340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W EMP TO
30 ENE SDA.
..THORNTON..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-011-019-021-031-037-043-045-049-059-073-085-087-
091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-207-209-
302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY CRAWFORD DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS ELK FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LABETTE LEAVENWORTH
LINN LYON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO OSAGE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WILSON
WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-
165-177-217-227-302340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY HARRISON
HOLT JACKSON NODAWAY
PLATTE RAY VERNON
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.