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Mesoscale Discussion 2174 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 2174
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0915 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
Areas affected...central and eastern OK
Concerning...Tornado Watch 694...696...
Valid 310215Z - 310345Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 694, 696 continues.
SUMMARY...An all-hazards severe threat will persist through
midnight, with the risk for a couple tornadoes greater over
northeast to east-central Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...An extensive linear convective band along the cold
front has a history of sporadic wind damage from severe gusts,
measured recently to 71 mph at the Fort Cobb OK-Mesonet. A separate,
nearly linear convective line has separately evolved out of earlier
semi-discrete convection along the far southeast KS/northeast OK
border area. The frontal convection continues to be largely undercut
by outflows along it, limiting potential for sustained low-level
mesocyclones. The threat for a couple tornadoes may be greatest
along the southern portion of the lead convective band and with any
discrete supercells that might be sustained from southeast into
east-central OK. Otherwise, the expectation is for a continued
sporadic severe wind threat and isolated hail.
..Grams.. 10/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 35559756 34769861 34529823 34819709 34599596 34909514
36029429 36679409 36979482 36909581 36309619 35559756
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