Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 691
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
555 PM MDT Sun Oct 20 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 555 PM
until 100 AM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to further
develop through the early evening hours, mainly posing a large hail
and severe wind gust risk through the evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of
Raton NM to 20 miles southwest of Roswell NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23025.
...Guyer
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 691
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
555 PM MDT Sun Oct 20 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 555 PM
until 100 AM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to further
develop through the early evening hours, mainly posing a large hail
and severe wind gust risk through the evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of
Raton NM to 20 miles southwest of Roswell NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 691 SEVERE TSTM NM 202355Z - 210700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NE RTN/RATON NM/ - 20SW ROW/ROSWELL NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33WSW TBE - 17SSW CME/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
LAT...LON 36970309 33080374 33080581 36970527
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 691 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 691
VALID 210600Z - 210740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE TCC
TO 55 WSW TCC TO 30 SSE LVS TO 40 ESE TAD.
..GOSS..10/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 691
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC007-009-019-021-033-037-047-059-210740-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY GUADALUPE
HARDING MORA QUAY
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 691
VALID 210435Z - 210540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW CVS TO
10 SW LVS TO 20 S TAD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2154.
..GRAMS..10/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 691
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC007-009-019-021-033-037-047-059-210540-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY GUADALUPE
HARDING MORA QUAY
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 691
VALID 210335Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW CVS
TO 25 WSW LVS.
..GRAMS..10/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 691
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC007-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-210440-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING MORA
QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 691
VALID 210235Z - 210340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE ROW
TO 35 N 4CR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2153.
..GRAMS..10/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 691
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC007-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-210340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING MORA
QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 691
VALID 210130Z - 210240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE ROW
TO 10 N 4CR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2153.
..GRAMS..10/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 691
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-059-210240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES COLFAX CURRY
DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING
LINCOLN MORA QUAY
ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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