Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 680
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM MDT Sat Sep 21 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
West Texas South Plains and Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop initially across a
broad north/south part of eastern New Mexico this afternoon, as well
as near the New Mexico/Texas border vicinity. This includes the
potential for some supercell storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west northwest
of Roswell NM to 55 miles southeast of Amarillo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Guyer
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 680
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM MDT Sat Sep 21 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
West Texas South Plains and Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop initially across a
broad north/south part of eastern New Mexico this afternoon, as well
as near the New Mexico/Texas border vicinity. This includes the
potential for some supercell storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west northwest
of Roswell NM to 55 miles southeast of Amarillo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 680 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 212030Z - 220400Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WNW ROW/ROSWELL NM/ - 55SE AMA/AMARILLO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM N/S /38WNW CME - 41WNW CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 35080533 36160104 33140104 32040533
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 680 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 680
VALID 220245Z - 220340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE HOB TO
20 SSE CAO.
..JEWELL..09/22/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 680
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-117-129-153-165-179-189-205-219-233-
279-303-341-359-369-375-381-393-437-445-501-220340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GAINES GRAY HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LUBBOCK MOORE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SWISHER
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 680
VALID 220105Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW INK
TO 20 WSW HOB TO 35 NNE HOB TO 5 ESE CAO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2096
..JEWELL..09/22/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 680
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-220240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-117-129-153-165-179-189-205-219-233-
279-303-341-359-369-375-381-393-437-445-501-220240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GAINES GRAY HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LUBBOCK MOORE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SWISHER
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 680
VALID 220000Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CNM
TO 35 W HOB TO 50 E ROW TO 50 NE ROW TO 55 WSW CVS TO 60 SSE LVS
TO 20 SSE SAF.
..JEWELL..09/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 680
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-011-015-019-021-025-033-037-041-047-220140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY DE BACA EDDY
GUADALUPE HARDING LEA
MORA QUAY ROOSEVELT
SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-117-129-153-165-179-189-205-219-233-
279-303-341-359-369-375-381-393-437-445-501-220140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GAINES GRAY HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LUBBOCK MOORE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SWISHER
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 680
VALID 212300Z - 220040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WNW GDP TO
20 WSW CNM TO 25 NW CNM TO 20 S ROW TO 10 NW ROW TO 50 NNW ROW TO
35 ENE 4CR TO 55 NNE 4CR TO 30 SSE SAF.
..JEWELL..09/21/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 680
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-033-037-041-047-220040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE HARDING
LEA MORA QUAY
ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-117-129-153-165-179-189-205-219-233-
279-303-341-359-369-375-381-393-437-445-501-220040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GAINES GRAY HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LUBBOCK MOORE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SWISHER
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.