Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 637
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Western Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify through the late
afternoon across central Arkansas and track southeastward across the
watch area. a few intense storms capable of damaging wind gusts and
large hail are expected.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north
northwest of Fort Smith AR to 60 miles southeast of Greenville MS.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 634...WW 635...WW 636...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 637 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 182030Z - 190300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15NNW FSM/FORT SMITH AR/ - 60SE GLH/GREENVILLE MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /13NW FSM - 27NNW MHZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 36409447 33729025 31999025 34669447
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 637 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 637
VALID 190140Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S RKR TO
45 SE FSM TO 25 NNE RUE TO 65 NE PBF TO 40 N GLH TO 20 ESE GWO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1953
..WENDT..08/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...TSA...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-025-029-039-041-043-045-051-053-059-
069-079-085-095-097-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-125-127-149-
190240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEVELAND CONWAY DALLAS
DESHA DREW FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE MONTGOMERY OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT YELL
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-190240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-011-021-029-037-049-051-053-055-063-077-083-085-089-121-
125-127-133-149-151-163-190240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOLIVAR CLAIBORNE
COPIAH FRANKLIN HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEFLORE
LINCOLN MADISON RANKIN
SHARKEY SIMPSON SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 637
VALID 190045Z - 190140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...TSA...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-007-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-039-041-043-045-047-
051-053-059-069-071-079-083-085-087-095-097-103-105-107-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-131-143-149-190140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BENTON
BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT
CLARK CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAWFORD DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LINCOLN
LOGAN LONOKE MADISON
MONROE MONTGOMERY OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL
$$
LAC035-065-067-083-123-190140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC011-027-049-051-053-055-083-089-125-133-135-149-151-163-
190140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
LEFLORE MADISON SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WARREN
WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 637
VALID 182335Z - 190040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1951
..WENDT..08/18/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...TSA...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-007-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-039-041-043-045-047-
051-053-059-069-071-079-083-085-087-095-097-103-105-107-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-131-143-149-190040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BENTON
BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT
CLARK CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAWFORD DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LINCOLN
LOGAN LONOKE MADISON
MONROE MONTGOMERY OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL
$$
LAC035-065-067-083-123-190040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC011-027-049-051-053-055-083-089-125-133-135-149-151-163-
190040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
LEFLORE MADISON SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WARREN
WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 637
VALID 182125Z - 182240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/18/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...TSA...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-007-011-013-017-019-025-029-033-039-041-043-045-047-
051-053-059-069-071-079-083-085-087-095-097-103-105-107-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-131-143-149-182240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BENTON
BRADLEY CALHOUN CHICOT
CLARK CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAWFORD DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LINCOLN
LOGAN LONOKE MADISON
MONROE MONTGOMERY OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL
$$
LAC035-065-067-083-123-182240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC011-027-049-051-053-055-083-089-125-133-135-149-151-163-
182240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
LEFLORE MADISON SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WARREN
WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.