SPC AC 150030

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0630 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025

   Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected tonight.

   ...01z Update...

   Weak mid-level disturbance is ejecting across northeast Mexico
   toward deep south TX early this evening. This feature should
   encourage weak elevated convection along the cool side of an
   offshore coastal boundary tonight. 00z sounding from BRO exhibits a
   modestly steep 3-6km lapse rate (7 C/km), and while moist, MUCAPE is
   only 100 J/kg. Lapse rates will likely remain a bit too weak, given
   the moisture, for updrafts to attain heights necessary for lightning
   discharge.

   ..Darrow.. 01/15/2025

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z