Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 180059
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Thu Oct 17 2024
Valid 180100Z - 181200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible tonight across parts of the
Intermountain West and southern to central Rockies, but no severe
threat is forecast.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the eastern
U.S. tonight, as an upper-level trough and an associated low moves
into the Desert Southwest. Isolated thunderstorm development will be
possible this evening into tonight ahead of the trough from parts of
the intermountain West into the southern and central Rockies. No
severe thunderstorms are expected across the continental United
States tonight.
..Broyles.. 10/18/2024
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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