Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 52
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-Central and North Florida
Southeast Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 805 AM until
300 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of primarily cellular storms will continue
east into the Watch area this morning and afternoon. Relatively
moist low levels and strongly sheared wind profiles will support
organized storms, including supercells and small linear segments. A
couple of tornadoes are possible, as well as damaging gusts with the
stronger storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Waycross GA to 50
miles southwest of Ocala FL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...WW 51...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Smith
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 52
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-Central and North Florida
Southeast Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 805 AM until
300 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of primarily cellular storms will continue
east into the Watch area this morning and afternoon. Relatively
moist low levels and strongly sheared wind profiles will support
organized storms, including supercells and small linear segments. A
couple of tornadoes are possible, as well as damaging gusts with the
stronger storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Waycross GA to 50
miles southwest of Ocala FL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...WW 51...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 52 TORNADO FL GA CW 161205Z - 161900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE AYS/WAYCROSS GA/ - 50SW OCF/OCALA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /31ENE AMG - 45N PIE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 31668098 28658190 28658371 31668285
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 52 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 52
VALID 161825Z - 161940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CTY TO
25 SSW AYS TO 30 SSE SAV.
..LYONS..03/16/25
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-017-019-031-035-041-053-075-083-089-107-109-125-
161940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST HERNANDO
LEVY MARION NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-101-127-161940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
ECHOLS GLYNN
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ850-161940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 52
VALID 161655Z - 161740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CTY TO
30 NNW GNV TO 25 ENE VLD TO 20 ENE AYS TO 40 WSW SAV.
..LYONS..03/16/25
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-017-019-031-035-041-053-075-083-089-107-109-125-
161740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST HERNANDO
LEVY MARION NASSAU
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-065-101-127-229-299-305-161740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH ECHOLS GLYNN
PIERCE WARE WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ765-850-161740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 52
VALID 161550Z - 161640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE VLD
TO 15 SW AYS TO 30 SE VDI.
..LYONS..03/16/25
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-053-067-075-083-
089-107-109-121-125-161640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HERNANDO
LAFAYETTE LEVY MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
SUWANNEE UNION
$$
GAC025-039-049-065-101-127-229-299-305-161640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH ECHOLS GLYNN
PIERCE WARE WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ765-850-161640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 52
VALID 161405Z - 161540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..03/16/25
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-053-067-075-083-
089-107-109-121-125-161540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HERNANDO
LAFAYETTE LEVY MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
SUWANNEE UNION
$$
GAC001-005-025-039-049-065-101-127-229-299-305-161540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING BACON BRANTLEY
CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH
ECHOLS GLYNN PIERCE
WARE WAYNE
$$
AMZ450-452-454-GMZ765-850-161540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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