Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 18
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
410 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest Arkansas
Southern and Southeast Oklahoma
Central into North and Northeast Texas
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 410 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A mature squall line will continue to quickly move
eastward across the Watch area this morning. The potential for
severe gusts (60-75 mph) and a tornado risk will accompany the
squall line. A possibility also exists for a few storms to develop
ahead of the squall line and a threat for tornadoes and large hail
may occur with this potential activity.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 105 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles west northwest of Poteau OK to
25 miles southeast of Waco TX. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23045.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 18 TORNADO AR OK TX 041010Z - 041700Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20WNW RKR/POTEAU OK/ - 25SE ACT/WACO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /36WSW FSM - 25SE ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 35129309 31359515 31359871 35129680
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 18 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 18
VALID 041440Z - 041540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW UTS
TO 30 W TXK TO 30 NNW DEQ TO 20 WNW FSM.
..SUPINIE..03/04/25
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
$$
OKC001-079-135-041540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR LE FLORE SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC037-067-073-183-203-315-343-401-459-041540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CASS CHEROKEE
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS RUSK UPSHUR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 18
VALID 041355Z - 041440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CLL TO
30 SW TYR TO 40 NNE TYR TO 25 E PRX TO 40 SW RKR TO 30 SSE MKO.
..BENTLEY..03/04/25
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
$$
OKC001-021-079-089-135-041440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN SEQUOYAH
$$
TXC001-037-063-067-073-159-161-183-203-315-343-387-401-423-449-
459-041440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
FREESTONE GREGG HARRISON
MARION MORRIS RED RIVER
RUSK SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 18
VALID 041245Z - 041340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE TPL
TO 25 NE ACT TO 15 NNW CRS TO 40 E DAL TO 40 SW PRX TO 25 W PRX
TO 30 S MLC TO 25 WSW MKO.
..JEWELL..03/04/25
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-091-113-127-133-041340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER MILLER
POLK SCOTT SEVIER
$$
OKC001-021-023-061-077-079-089-091-101-121-127-135-145-041340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
WAGONER
$$
TXC001-037-063-067-073-119-159-161-183-203-213-223-231-257-277-
293-315-343-349-379-387-401-423-449-459-467-499-041340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE DELTA
FRANKLIN FREESTONE GREGG
HARRISON HENDERSON HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN LAMAR
LIMESTONE MARION MORRIS
NAVARRO RAINS RED RIVER
RUSK SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.