Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 623
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Northern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to form this
afternoon into this evening across southern Iowa/northern Missouri
in an environment that supports supercells. Large hail of 1-2
inches in diameter, damaging gusts of 60-75 mph and an isolated
tornado or two will be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles north
northwest of Saint Joseph MO to 55 miles east southeast of Ottumwa
IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Thompson
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 623
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Northern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to form this
afternoon into this evening across southern Iowa/northern Missouri
in an environment that supports supercells. Large hail of 1-2
inches in diameter, damaging gusts of 60-75 mph and an isolated
tornado or two will be possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles north
northwest of Saint Joseph MO to 55 miles east southeast of Ottumwa
IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 623 SEVERE TSTM IA MO 152100Z - 160400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60NNW STJ/SAINT JOSEPH MO/ - 55ESE OTM/OTTUMWA IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /40SSE OVR - 44S IOW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 41449536 41669148 39919148 39709536
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 623 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 623
VALID 160225Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CDJ
TO 15 NNE CDJ TO 35 N IRK TO 10 SSW CID.
..HALBERT..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...DVN...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 623
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC051-057-087-101-107-111-115-177-183-160340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAVIS DES MOINES HENRY
JEFFERSON KEOKUK LEE
LOUISA VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
MOC001-045-103-111-115-121-127-197-199-205-211-160340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CLARK KNOX
LEWIS LINN MACON
MARION SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 623
VALID 160135Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CDJ
TO 20 NE LWD TO 35 WSW CID.
..HALBERT..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...DVN...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 623
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-051-087-095-101-107-111-123-135-177-179-183-185-160240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS HENRY
IOWA JEFFERSON KEOKUK
LEE MAHASKA MONROE
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-045-103-111-115-121-127-171-197-199-205-211-160240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CLARK KNOX
LEWIS LINN MACON
MARION PUTNAM SCHUYLER
SCOTLAND SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 623
VALID 160050Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW CDJ
TO 25 WNW LWD TO 10 S DSM.
..HALBERT..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...DVN...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 623
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-087-095-099-101-107-111-117-123-125-135-157-
159-177-179-181-183-185-160140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR HENRY IOWA
JASPER JEFFERSON KEOKUK
LEE LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD VAN BUREN WAPELLO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-045-061-079-081-103-111-115-117-121-127-129-171-197-199-
205-211-160140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CLARK DAVIESS
GRUNDY HARRISON KNOX
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 623
VALID 152335Z - 160040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HALBERT..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...DVN...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 623
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-029-039-049-051-053-071-087-095-099-101-107-111-
117-121-123-125-135-137-145-153-157-159-173-175-177-179-181-183-
185-160040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DAVIS DECATUR FREMONT
HENRY IOWA JASPER
JEFFERSON KEOKUK LEE
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
PAGE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-103-111-115-117-121-
127-129-147-171-197-199-205-211-227-160040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 623
VALID 152245Z - 152340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HALBERT..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...DVN...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 623
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-029-039-049-051-053-071-087-095-099-101-107-111-
117-121-123-125-135-137-145-153-157-159-173-175-177-179-181-183-
185-152340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DAVIS DECATUR FREMONT
HENRY IOWA JASPER
JEFFERSON KEOKUK LEE
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
PAGE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-103-111-115-117-121-
127-129-147-171-197-199-205-211-227-152340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.