Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 609
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM MDT Tue Aug 6 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern into Central and Eastern Montana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight
MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms will continue
to develop and intensify through the mid evening. The stronger
initial cellular storms will pose an isolated risk for large hail (1
to 2 inches in diameter) and severe gusts. Additional storms with
some outflow merging and upscale growth into one or more clusters is
expected later this evening. Severe gusts (60-70 mph) and perhaps
large hail may accompany this activity late this evening into the
early overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles north
northwest of Drummond MT to 20 miles northeast of Glendive MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 605...WW 606...WW
607...WW 608...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 609 SEVERE TSTM MT 062255Z - 070600Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
75NNW 3DU/DRUMMOND MT/ - 20NE GDV/GLENDIVE MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /36SSE FCA - 62SW ISN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 48971377 48640450 46030450 46371377
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 609 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 609
VALID 070310Z - 070440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW BTM
TO 65 ENE CTB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1853
..THORNTON..08/07/24
ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...MSO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 609
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC005-007-013-015-021-027-033-041-043-045-049-051-055-059-069-
071-079-083-109-070440-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BROADWATER CASCADE
CHOUTEAU DAWSON FERGUS
GARFIELD HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY
MCCONE MEAGHER PETROLEUM
PHILLIPS PRAIRIE RICHLAND
WIBAUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 609
VALID 070040Z - 070140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/07/24
ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...MSO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 609
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC005-007-013-015-021-027-029-033-035-041-043-045-049-051-055-
059-069-071-073-077-079-083-099-101-109-070140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BROADWATER CASCADE
CHOUTEAU DAWSON FERGUS
FLATHEAD GARFIELD GLACIER
HILL JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN
LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY MCCONE
MEAGHER PETROLEUM PHILLIPS
PONDERA POWELL PRAIRIE
RICHLAND TETON TOOLE
WIBAUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 609
VALID 062330Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/06/24
ATTN...WFO...TFX...GGW...MSO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 609
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC005-007-013-015-021-027-029-033-035-041-043-045-049-051-055-
059-069-071-073-077-079-083-099-101-109-070040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE BROADWATER CASCADE
CHOUTEAU DAWSON FERGUS
FLATHEAD GARFIELD GLACIER
HILL JEFFERSON JUDITH BASIN
LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY MCCONE
MEAGHER PETROLEUM PHILLIPS
PONDERA POWELL PRAIRIE
RICHLAND TETON TOOLE
WIBAUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.