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Mesoscale Discussion 174
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0174
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0600 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

   Areas affected...northern Arkansas...Missouri...and into western
   Illinois

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...

   Valid 142300Z - 150100Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe risk -- largely in the form of very strong/damaging
   winds -- will continue over the next several hours, while risk for a
   few/potentially strong tornadoes will also persist, especially over
   southern portions of the WW.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken/complex band of storms
   moving across Missouri and adjacent northwestern Arkansas.  The most
   intense convection is occurring from central Missouri southward,
   just ahead of the advancing cold front.

   While a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer is evident over northern
   Missouri, dewpoints increase gradually with southward extent across
   the watch.  This suggests primary risk across northern portions of
   the watch remains very strong/damaging gusts, while tornado
   potential increases with southward extent, across the Ozarks. 
   Additionally, strong southerly low-level flow will continue to
   advect moisture northward, so tornado potential should gradually
   increase northeastward, with time.

   ..Goss.. 03/14/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...

   LAT...LON   36129416 37019375 38309307 39169282 40129148 40019063
               36909128 35449174 35229305 35449389 36129416 

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