Mesoscale Discussion 0088
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0148 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

   Areas affected...southern into central Mississippi into western and
   southwestern Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...

   Valid 121948Z - 122315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5 continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe weather will increase through the
   afternoon and into early evening. A few tornadoes appear likely.

   DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery as well as surface
   observations show the continued northward movement of the warm front
   across southern MS and AL. Gusty southerly winds over 30 kt exist
   over much of eastern LA, indicative of boundary-layer mixing and
   strengthening low-level jet. This air mass will spread north through
   evening.

   Notable pressure falls exist over southern MS and into southwest AL,
   just ahead of a rash of developing storms. Given 0-1 SRH of 200-300
   m2/s2 and destabilizing air mass, these cells are likely to become
   supercellular, with an increasing threat of tornadoes as cells
   mature. A strong tornado or two is possible as storms move in
   concert with the warm front with access to both large low-level
   shear and favorable instability.

   ..Jewell.. 02/12/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   31398831 31078938 31049064 31139085 31369094 31769082
               32319041 32648969 32868883 32908804 32628764 32218763
               31798773 31398831