Mesoscale Discussion 1917
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1144 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

   Areas affected...northeastern Oklahoma...northwestern Arkansas...and
   southern Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 625...

   Valid 160444Z - 160515Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 625
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe risk continues to gradually diminish across the
   Ozarks region and into northeastern Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a continued/gradual decreasing
   trend in terms of the intensity of the ongoing/isolated convection
   across the remaining portions of the watch.  Two clusters of storms
   - one moving east-southeastward across northeastern Oklahoma and a
   second over south-central Missouri just north of the Arkansas border
   -- remain fairly vigorous, and capable of a locally damaging wind
   gust or two in the short term.  With time, a continued/gradual
   decrease in convective intensity/severe potential is expected, as
   the boundary layer continues to gradually stabilize.  However, ample
   instability suggests that storms -- and perhaps a sporadic/strong
   gust -- may continue into the overnight hours locally.  Still, with
   the overall wane in risk, the scheduled 16/05Z expiration of the WW
   appears appropriate, with new WW issuance not required.

   ..Goss.. 08/16/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

   LAT...LON   35359624 35939608 36779370 37049317 37719202 37199083
               36649092 36119372 35229563 35359624