Mesoscale Discussion 1914
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0847 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

   Areas affected...southeastern Missouri...southern Illinois...and
   western Kentucky

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 624...

   Valid 160147Z - 160345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 624
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Local severe risk (hail/wind) continues across portions of
   the southern Illinois area, with additional strong storms
   approaching from the west.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a continued/gradual decrease in
   overall convective coverage/intensity across southern Illinois,
   though one storm has evolved into a small, bowing cluster that has
   accelerated southward and is now in the process of beginning to
   cross the Ohio River into far western Kentucky.  Locally
   gusty/damaging winds and marginal hail will remain possible with
   this cluster, in the short term.

   Meanwhile, a separate area of strong/locally severe storms advancing
   eastward across the Ozarks will begin moving into western portions
   of WW 624 (out of WW 625) in the next hour.  With 2000 to 3000 J/kg
   mixed-layer CAPE indicated by RAP-based objective analysis across
   the WW area, expect this convection to remain capable of producing
   locally strong/damaging wind gusts over the next couple of hours.

   ..Goss.. 08/16/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

   LAT...LON   36878782 36638907 36799177 37229219 38199156 38649030
               38358947 36878782