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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Jan 21, 2025 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 21 17:01:03 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250121 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20250121 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Extreme 5,206 2,129,971 Oceanside, CA...Santa Clarita, CA...Escondido, CA...Palmdale, CA...Thousand Oaks, CA...
Critical 8,178 12,427,312 Santa Ana, CA...Anaheim, CA...Riverside, CA...Glendale, CA...San Bernardino, CA...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 211700

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1100 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025

   Valid 211700Z - 221200Z

   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SAN GABRIEL
   MOUNTAINS WEST TOWARDS THE MALIBU COAST...
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SAN
   JACINTO TO LAGUNA MOUNTAIN RANGES...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...

   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor
   changes were made to the Extremely Critical highlights in Los
   Angeles County and Ventura County -- based on the latest surface
   observations and high-resolution guidance. The offshore pressure
   gradient should be peaking over the next few hours (latest LAX-DAG
   gradient around -6.5 mb), and this will be the period of strongest
   offshore winds and potential for extremely critical conditions.
   Thereafter, critical conditions should persist into this evening,
   when an overall decrease in the pressure gradient and surface winds
   is expected.

   ..Weinman.. 01/21/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough across the southwest U.S. will rapidly track
   eastward toward the Southeast while surface high pressure persists
   over the Great Basin through the period. Strong offshore flow will
   persist from the Ventura Valley to the Laguna Mountains, with
   widespread 20-30 mph sustained winds and 10 percent RH expected
   during the day into early Wednesday morning, warranting the
   maintenance of Critical highlights across much of the far southern
   California shoreline. Furthermore, the latest high-resolution
   guidance consensus shows sustained winds exceeding 40 mph,
   coinciding with single-digit RH, from the Ventura Valley to the San
   Bernardino Mountains, as well as the San Jacinto to Laguna Mountain
   ranges, where Extremely Critical highlights were maintained. The
   best chance for Extremely Critical conditions will be during the
   morning into early afternoon hours.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: January 21, 2025
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