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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Apr 18, 2025 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Apr 18 16:39:02 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250418 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20250418 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 57,071 1,360,270 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Clovis, NM...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 181637

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1137 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025

   Valid 181700Z - 191200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW
   MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...

   ...1630 Update...
   A faster southward progression of a backdoor cold front across the
   Texas Panhandle as far south as US-70 has temporarily mitigated fire
   weather concerns across the area. However, some northeastward
   retreat and daytime mixing should allow dry southwest flow to return
   to portions of northeastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle
   supporting at least a brief period of Elevated fire weather
   conditions to emerge within this zone. The Critical fire weather
   threat will continue for much of southeastern New Mexico.

   Eastern extent of Elevated highlights were trimmed along the Florida
   Atlantic Coast as higher dewpoints/relative humidity accompany
   southeasterly onshore flow. Farther inland however, Elevated fire
   weather conditions expected with east-southeast winds of 10-15 mph
   and relative humidity dropping into the 35-40 percent range this
   afternoon amid increasingly dry fuels.

   ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/18/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper trough initially in the Great Basin will move towards the
   Four Corners region today. A modest surface low in eastern New
   Mexico into West Texas will develop during the day. A cold front
   will continue to make southward progress into the southern Plains.

   ...New Mexico into West Texas...
   Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are again expected
   during the afternoon. Moderate mid-level flow across the Southwest
   and southern Plains and a modest surface low along the Texas/New
   Mexico border will drive 15-20 mph (up to 25 mph in the terrain)
   surface winds by the afternoon. RH will be slightly higher than
   Thursday on account of mid/upper-level clouds. Values of around 10%
   may occur, but will occur on a relatively local basis. 15-20% will
   be more common. The driest fuels will be in New Mexico and the
   Trans-Pecos. Farther east in the Texas Panhandle/South Plains,
   transitional/greening fuels will mitigate fire weather concerns even
   with similarly dry and windy conditions.

   ...Florida...
   Easterly winds of around 10 mph appear possible during the
   afternoon. RH of 25-35% can be expected along the western Peninsula.
   With dry fuels (current ERC data showing some locations above the
   90th percentile), elevated fire weather is likely this afternoon.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: April 18, 2025
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