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    Day 2 Outlook >
Apr 26, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Apr 26 00:59:42 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250426 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250426 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 260059

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0759 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

   Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
   EAST-CENTRAL NM INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms with potential for large to very large hail,
   isolated severe gusts, and a few tornadoes remain possible this
   evening from eastern New Mexico into the Texas South Plains and
   Permian Basin.

   ...Southern High Plains vicinity...
   Several supercells are ongoing this evening from eastern NM into the
   TX Panhandle, South Plains, and Permian Basin. Moderate to strong
   buoyancy and favorably veering wind profiles will maintain supercell
   potential through much of the evening, with eventual storm
   clustering and upscale growth possible later tonight, due to
   continued storm interactions and a nocturnally strengthening
   low-level jet. 

   Tornado potential will persist and may locally increase through the
   evening, as 0-1 km SRH increases above 200 m2/s2 in conjunction with
   the strengthening low-level jet. A conditional threat for a strong
   tornado remains evident with any supercell that can persist near a
   surface boundary extending from east-central NM into the TX South
   Plains. Otherwise, supercells will continue pose a threat of very
   large hail and isolated severe gusts through the evening. 

   Late tonight, one or more storm clusters may spread
   east-southeastward toward southwest OK and western north TX, with a
   threat of strong to severe gusts, hail, and possibly a tornado. 

   ...Southern OH into western WV... 
   A small portion of the Marginal Risk has been maintained from
   extreme southern OH into western WV, where a couple of small
   rotating cells may persist for another hour or two before weakening
   later this evening.

   ..Dean.. 04/26/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: April 26, 2025
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