Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Western Mississippi
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...The moist, unstable, and moderately to strongly sheared
airmass that exists over the region will remain supportive of
thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including a strong
(EF2+) tornado, for the next several hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 75 miles southeast of Monroe LA to 35
miles north northwest of Monticello AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 32...WW 33...WW 34...WW
35...WW 36...WW 37...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Mosier
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Western Mississippi
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...The moist, unstable, and moderately to strongly sheared
airmass that exists over the region will remain supportive of
thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including a strong
(EF2+) tornado, for the next several hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 75 miles southeast of Monroe LA to 35
miles north northwest of Monticello AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 32...WW 33...WW 34...WW
35...WW 36...WW 37...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 38 TORNADO AR LA MS 150245Z - 151000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75SE MLU/MONROE LA/ - 35NNW LLQ/MONTICELLO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /52WNW MCB - 36SSE LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31749240 34099330 34099067 31748985
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 38 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 38
VALID 150750Z - 150840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N PIB TO
35 S GLH TO 10 N ELD TO 25 E DEQ.
..MOORE..03/15/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-039-041-043-069-079-103-150840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
DALLAS DESHA DREW
JEFFERSON LINCOLN OUACHITA
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-025-043-051-053-069-079-083-087-089-097-099-
101-103-105-123-133-151-155-159-163-150840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS KEMPER
LEAKE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SCOTT SUNFLOWER WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 38
VALID 150625Z - 150740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..03/15/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-053-057-069-073-079-
099-103-139-150740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW GRANT HEMPSTEAD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
NEVADA OUACHITA UNION
$$
LAC021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-123-150740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-021-029-043-049-051-053-055-063-079-083-089-
097-121-125-127-133-149-151-155-163-150740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE COPIAH
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEAKE LEFLORE MADISON
MONTGOMERY RANKIN SHARKEY
SIMPSON SUNFLOWER WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 38
VALID 150545Z - 150640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S HOT TO
30 SSE HOT.
..GOSS..03/15/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-053-057-069-073-079-
099-103-139-150640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW GRANT HEMPSTEAD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
NEVADA OUACHITA UNION
$$
LAC021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-123-150640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-021-029-043-049-051-053-055-063-079-083-089-
097-121-125-127-133-149-151-155-163-150640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE COPIAH
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEAKE LEFLORE MADISON
MONTGOMERY RANKIN SHARKEY
SIMPSON SUNFLOWER WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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