Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 593
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Sat Aug 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
Northeast South Dakota
Northwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 625 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast to
continue to develop and move east-southeast through the evening.
Supercells capable of large to very large hail (diameter 1 to 2.5
inches) and severe gusts (60-70 mph) will be the primary storm mode
through the early evening. Upscale growth into a linear cluster may
occur later this evening with severe gusts possibly becoming the
main hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Ortonville MN to 80 miles northeast of Minneapolis MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 591...WW 592...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 593 SEVERE TSTM MN SD WI 032325Z - 040600Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NW VVV/ORTONVILLE MN/ - 80NE MSP/MINNEAPOLIS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /60ENE ABR - 53NNW EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 46739701 46719205 44689205 44709701
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 593 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 593
VALID 040430Z - 040540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE RWF TO
30 NE RWF TO 20 E MSP TO 40 N RST.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-015-019-037-079-085-103-129-139-143-040540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
DAKOTA LE SUEUR MCLEOD
NICOLLET RENVILLE SCOTT
SIBLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 593
VALID 040335Z - 040440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W RWF TO
35 N RWF TO 30 NW EAU.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-015-019-037-053-067-079-085-093-103-123-129-139-143-163-
171-040440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
DAKOTA HENNEPIN KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MEEKER
NICOLLET RAMSEY RENVILLE
SCOTT SIBLEY WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
$$
WIC093-109-040440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 593
VALID 040215Z - 040340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW RWF TO
45 SSE AXN TO 20 ENE STC TO 60 NNW EAU.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-019-025-037-053-059-067-085-093-123-139-141-163-171-
040340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CARVER CHISAGO
DAKOTA HENNEPIN ISANTI
KANDIYOHI MCLEOD MEEKER
RAMSEY SCOTT SHERBURNE
WASHINGTON WRIGHT
$$
WIC093-095-109-040340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE POLK ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 593
VALID 040145Z - 040240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW ATY
TO 40 ESE VVV TO 35 WNW STC TO 25 NNW BRD.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-019-023-025-035-037-053-059-065-067-073-085-093-
095-097-115-123-139-141-145-163-171-040240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
CARVER CHIPPEWA CHISAGO
CROW WING DAKOTA HENNEPIN
ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LAC QUI PARLE MCLEOD MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE
RAMSEY SCOTT SHERBURNE
STEARNS WASHINGTON WRIGHT
$$
SDC029-039-051-057-040240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CODINGTON DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN
$$
WIC013-093-095-109-040240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT PIERCE POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 593
VALID 040035Z - 040140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW VVV
TO 15 NE AXN TO 30 E DTL.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-011-019-021-023-025-035-037-041-053-059-065-067-
073-085-093-095-097-115-121-123-139-141-145-149-151-153-159-163-
171-040140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
BIG STONE CARVER CASS
CHIPPEWA CHISAGO CROW WING
DAKOTA DOUGLAS HENNEPIN
ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LAC QUI PARLE MCLEOD MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE
POPE RAMSEY SCOTT
SHERBURNE STEARNS STEVENS
SWIFT TODD WADENA
WASHINGTON WRIGHT
$$
SDC029-039-051-057-040140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CODINGTON DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN
$$
WIC013-093-095-109-040140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT PIERCE POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.