Mesoscale Discussion 0222
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0628 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

   Areas affected...North Florida and southeast Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 161128Z - 161300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will spread eastward into
   southeast Georgia and north Florida through late morning.  A new
   tornado watch appears likely.

   DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms has persisted overnight from
   south central GA into the eastern FL Panhandle, with
   occasional/embedded supercell structures.  Low-level moistening over
   the next few hours and the onset of diurnal heating will drive
   destabilization across north FL/southeast GA later this morning. 
   Though the low-level jet core will develop northeastward toward the
   Carolinas through the day, low-level flow/shear will remain
   sufficiently strong to support additional supercells through the
   morning across north FL/southeast GA.  The storms will remain
   capable of producing occasional damaging winds and possibly a couple
   of tornadoes, and a new tornado watch will likely be needed from
   12-13z.

   ..Thompson/Smith.. 03/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31288133 30368164 29908202 29548247 29388309 29388323
               29808337 30538324 31158280 31698236 31748192 31288133