Mesoscale Discussion 0094
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 AM CST Thu Feb 13 2025

   Areas affected...Southeast Alabama...Southwest Georgia...Florida
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 7...

   Valid 130659Z - 130900Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 7 continues.

   SUMMARY...A wind-damage and isolated tornado threat will likely
   persist across parts of southeast Alabama over the next few hours.
   Although the threat will move into parts of southwestern Georgia and
   the Florida Panhandle, the overall threat is expected to decrease
   with time. Weather watch issuance appears unlikely downstream from
   the current watch.

   DISCUSSION...A subtle mid-level trough is currently analyzed across
   eastern Alabama. At the surface, a front is advancing across the
   central Gulf Coast states. Ahead of the front, a broken line of
   organized storms is located from far southern Alabama extending
   northeastward into north-central Georgia. Surface dewpoints along
   and ahead of the Alabama portion of the line are in the upper 60s to
   near 70 F, which is contributing to MLCAPE in the 500 to 1500 J/kg
   range, estimated by the RAP. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP from Fort
   Rucker, Alabama has 0-6 km shear near 60 knots with 0-3 km
   storm-relative helicity has 450 m2/s2. This environment should
   continue to support a wind-damage and isolated tornado threat over
   the next few hours. However, as the mid-level trough an the
   associated low-level jet moves away from the region, the threat is
   expected to gradually decrease in coverage. The line will eventually
   affect southwest Georgia and the central Florida Panhandle late
   tonight, but the threat is expected to become too isolated for
   weather watch issuance.

   ..Broyles/Mosier.. 02/13/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30678496 30438533 30368580 30428625 30768655 31288660
               31928614 32178587 32698532 33038482 33128438 33048389
               32888362 32598350 32018361 31348413 30678496