Mesoscale Discussion 2169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0657 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

   Areas affected...southeast KS and far northeast OK/southwest MO

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 695...696...

   Valid 302357Z - 310100Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695, 696 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe wind and tornado threats are increasing across
   southeast Kansas into adjacent portions of Missouri and Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...Discrete cells have recently increased across northeast
   OK, ahead of the linear convective band farther west along the
   composite outflow/cold front. These cells appear to be on the
   leading edge of slightly richer low-level moisture and a few of them
   should deepen into supercells shortly within rather favorable
   deep-layer shear per the Tulsa VWP. While severe wind potential
   should remain the primary hazard in terms of coverage as the
   upstream linear band shifts east-northeast, the tornado threat
   should increase as these cells become absorbed into the line, where
   surface dew points at or above 63 F can be maintained. This appears
   most probable across parts of far northeast OK into southeast KS
   through 03Z.

   ..Grams/Hart.. 10/30/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   36719598 37349586 37789584 38029554 38099508 37949472
               37759445 37469441 36779495 36469563 36719598