Mesoscale Discussion 2141
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1251 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

   Areas affected...East Central and Southeastern Florida

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 690...

   Valid 091751Z - 091915Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 690 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat to continue shifting northward over the
   next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Ongoing supercell activity across south-central and
   southeastern Florida continues, with reports of a confirmed tornado
   near Fort Drum. A strong thermal gradient is in place across much of
   the southern Florida Peninsula, with MLCAPE around 500-2000 J/kg.
   Though the thermal profile becomes less favorable with northern
   extent, ongoing established supercells will likely continue to track
   northward and maintain organization and intensity as they move into
   highly favorable deep layer shear and southeasterly backed surface
   flow, progged to increase with the expanding wind field associated
   with Hurricane Milton. As such, the threat for tornadoes will
   continue, shifting northward over the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Thornton/Smith.. 10/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

   LAT...LON   27378132 27708136 27968142 28508143 28918118 28838066
               28608046 28348040 28018033 27698023 27338017 26988015
               26778025 26698046 26758078 26988118 27378132