Mesoscale Discussion 2042
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0153 PM CDT Sun Sep 01 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of northeastern North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 011853Z - 012100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A small cluster of storms may produce strong to locally
   damaging winds through the remainder of the afternoon. A watch is
   not currently anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Amid a weak mid-level lapse rate environment, storms
   that had initially formed on differential heating boundaries have
   now begun to cluster  and show some modest signs of deepening. With
   cloud cover having mostly dissipated, temperatures have risen into
   the upper 80s/low 90s F in northeast North Carolina into
   southeastern Virginia. Steep low-level lapse rates could promote
   strong/damaging outflow gusts as convection propagates
   east-northeast. Weak deep-layer shear and lapse rates aloft will
   limit overall storm intensity/organization.

   ..Wendt/Bunting.. 09/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   36927813 36917757 37047694 36997647 36897625 36527617
               35847648 35637782 35807878 36057917 36437926 36767891
               36927813