Mesoscale Discussion 1924
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0600 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

   Areas affected...Central and northern Oklahoma into far northwest
   Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 628...

   Valid 162300Z - 170030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 628
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 628. At least a few instances of severe wind or hail may
   accompany the stronger storms over the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multicell clusters and transient supercells have
   percolated in intensity from far western OK into far northwestern AR
   over the past few hours. At the moment, a couple of strong
   thunderstorm clusters are ongoing along diffuse baroclinic
   boundaries, were surface temperatures are in the upper 90s to low
   100s F, contributing to 8.5-9.5 C/km boundary-layer lapse rates. As
   such, the more intense, persistent updrafts may support a large-hail
   threat until they become outflow dominant, when severe gusts become
   the main concern. However, deep-layer ascent/shear remain weak, so
   thunderstorms may continue to struggle to maintain intensity, with
   the severe threat perhaps becoming gradually more isolated through
   the evening.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/16/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35790001 36779902 37039498 36729390 36239357 35889366
               35669546 35249766 35169872 35169943 35199997 35790001