Mesoscale Discussion 1703
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0402 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

   Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western and northern
   Pennsylvania...and central New York

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 242102Z - 242230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
   to produce occasional damaging winds this afternoon/evening.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed within a broad
   region of moderate instability (1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). None of
   these storms have been particularly strong, but 25-30 knots of
   effective shear have permitted some organized cells to
   develop/persist from eastern Ohio into New York. Expect this
   continue for several more hours with a threat for damaging wind
   gusts before the threat lessens this evening as the boundary layer
   begins to cool. 

   Despite several strong to severe storms, a watch is not anticipated
   due to the widely scattered nature of the threat.

   ..Bentley/Thompson.. 07/24/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...
   ILN...

   LAT...LON   40028233 41817985 42827728 43587632 44307624 44587567
               44727486 44437456 43277451 42377499 41897616 40687843
               39648009 39468121 39608211 40028233