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Mesoscale Discussion 11 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025
Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...
Valid 051823Z - 052000Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.
SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the
next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and
vicinity.
DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree
range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the
eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this
corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level
confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown
moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue
to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of
relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the
next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front
may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment.
..Leitman.. 01/05/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374
31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210
32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257
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