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Mesoscale Discussion 11
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0011
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

   Valid 051823Z - 052000Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

   SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the
   next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and
   vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree
   range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the
   eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this
   corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level
   confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown
   moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue
   to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of
   relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the
   next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front
   may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment.

   ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374
               31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210
               32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257 

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