Mesoscale Discussion 0220
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

   Areas affected...East central Georgia to the eastern Florida
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

   Valid 160843Z - 161015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

   SUMMARY...Threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
   tornadoes will persist through the morning.

   DISCUSSION...A forced, pre-frontal convective band is moving from
   central toward east central GA, with the band largely oriented
   parallel to the deep-layer flow/shear vectors.  The QLCS in central
   GA is moving along the edge of the near-surface destabilization, and
   close to the 70 kt low-level jet core.  Despite the weak
   near-surface buoyancy, occasional damaging gusts and a tornado or
   two could occur with embedded circulations, especially more
   north-south oriented segments.  Stronger buoyancy is located farther
   to the southwest, where 68-70 F dewpoints have spread inland to
   extreme southwest GA and the eastern FL Panhandle.  The more
   cellular storm mode in this area suggests some potential for
   occasional supercell structures, though low-level shear will slowly
   weaken through the morning as the low-level jet develops
   northeastward toward SC.

   ..Thompson.. 03/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   32928311 33548277 33778217 33568193 32888218 32198252
               31598306 31018363 30378419 29948467 29758515 30348515
               31708435 32928311