Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030634
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 AM CST Tue Dec 03 2024
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss
on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected.
...Synopsis...
A large, upper-level trough will move into southern Ontario and the
Great Lakes Region on Wednesday with a very strong mid-level jet
along the western periphery of this trough. As this occurs, a
compact low-level jet is forecast to develop across east Texas and
move into Louisiana and far western Mississippi during the evening
and overnight hours. As low-level southerly flow increases across
east Texas, low-level moisture will lead to modest elevated
instability (500 to 1000 J/kg MUCAPE). Scattered thunderstorms are
possible across this region for much of the period. However,
instability appears too weak too warrant any substantial severe
weather threat.
..Bentley.. 12/03/2024
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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