ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260624

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0124 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW
   MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL
   NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   As a mid-level trough moves over the Great Basin during the day
   Sunday, an accompanying southwesterly mid-level jet maximum is
   forecast to overspread the southern and central Rocky Mountains.
   Strong lee cyclogenesis at the surface east of the central Rockies,
   as well as deep boundary layer mixing beneath the jet core across
   the Southwest, will result in strong southwesterly surface winds and
   dry conditions from the Four Corners region into the southern High
   Plains. These conditions will be responsible for a corridor of
   concern for Extremely Critical fire-weather across central and
   southern New Mexico into far West Texas.

   ...Central and Southern New Mexico into Far West Texas...
   00Z Ensemble guidance from the HREF suggests there is high
   confidence in widespread 30+ MPH winds along with the potential for
   single-digit relative humidity. Forecast sounding profiles suggest
   an ensemble mean mixing depth at or exceeding 3 km AGL / 600 mb, and
   ensemble minimum sustained winds exceed Extremely Critical criteria.
   With current ERC fuels guidance showing fuels exceeding the annual
   90th percentile, conditions will be supportive of rapid wildfire
   ignition and spread. While low relative humidity and high winds will
   exist from northwest New Mexico into the Four Corners, as well as
   southeastern Colorado, fuels further north do not appear to be
   overly receptive to wildfire ignition and spread at this time.

   ..Halbert.. 04/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)