Some Scientific References on Tornadoes

Compiled by Roger Edwards

This is not intended to be a comprehensive list of all scientific information on tornadoes. Instead, this list offers a large sampling of papers commonly used in modern tornado science. Listing is alphabetic in each section, by lead author. SPC publications are hyperlinked.


    TORNADO HISTORY, CLIMATOLOGY AND RECORDKEEPING

      Agee, E., J. Larson, S. Childs, and A. Marmo, 2016: Spatial redistribution of U.S. tornado activity between 1954 and 2013. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 55, 1681–1697.

      Allen, J.T., M.K. Tippett, and A.H. Sobel, 2015: Influence of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation on tornado and hail frequency in the United States. Nature Geosci., doi: 10.1038/NGEO2385.

      Ashley, W. S., and S. M. Strader, 2016: Recipe for disaster: How the dynamic ingredients of risk and exposure are changing the tornado disaster landscape. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 767–786.

      ——, 2007: Spatial and temporal analysis of tornado fatalities in the United States: 1880–2005. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1214–1228.

      Barrett, B.S., and V.A. Gensini, 2013: Variability of central United States April–May tornado day likelihood by phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 2790–2795.

      Concannon, P.R., H.E. Brooks and C.A. Doswell III, 2000: Climatological risk of strong and violent tornadoes in the United States. Preprints, 2nd Conf. Environ. Applications, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Long Beach, CA.

      Bluestein, H.B., 2009: The formation and early evolution of the Greensburg, Kansas, tornadic supercell on 4 May 2007. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 899–920.

      Brooks, H.E., G.W. Carbin, and P.T. Marsh, 2014a: Increased variability of tornado occurrence in the United States. Science, 346, 349–352.

      ——, 2004: On the relationship of tornado path length and width to intensity. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 310–319.

      ——, C.A. Doswell III, and M. P. Kay, 2003: Climatological estimates of local daily tornado probability for the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 626–640.

      ——, J. W. Lee, and J. P. Craven, 2003: The spatial distribution of severe thunderstorm and tornado environments from global reanalysis data. Atmos. Res., 67–68, 73–94.

      Coleman, T.A., and P.G. Dixon, 2014: An objective analysis of tornado risk in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 366–376.

      Cook, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2008: The relation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to winter tornado outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3121–3137.

      ——, L.M. Leslie, D.B. Parsons, and J.T. Schaefer, 2017: The impact of El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on winter and early spring U.S. tornado outbreaks. J. Clim. Appl. Meteor., 56, 2455–2478.

      Corfidi, S., S. Weiss, J. Kain, S. Corfidi, R. Rabin, and J. Levit, 2010: Revisiting the 3–4 April 1974 Super Outbreak of tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 465–510.

      ——, and C. A. Doswell III, 2002: Deaths in the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornado from a historical perspective. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 354–361.

      Dean, A.R., 2010: An analysis of clustered tornado events. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.19.

      Doswell, C. A. III, 2007: Small sample size and data quality issues illustrated using tornado occurrence data. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2(5), 1–16.

      ——, 2007: >Historical overview of severe convective storms research. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2(1), 1–25.

      ——, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939–951.

      ——, and D. W. Burgess, 1988: On some issues of United States tornado climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 495–501.

      Dotzek, N., 2003: An updated estimate of tornado occurrence in Europe. Atmos. Res., 67–68, 153–161.

      Edwards, R., M. S. Elliott, P. T. Marsh, and D. A. Speheger, 2022: Errors, oddities and artifacts in U.S. tornado data, 1995–2021. Proc., 30th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8.3B.

      ——, H. E. Brooks, and H. Cohn, 2021: Changes in tornado climatology accompanying the enhanced Fujita scale. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 60, 1465–1481.

      French, M. M., H. B. Bluestein, L. J. Wicker, D. C. Dowell, and M. R. Kramar, 2009: An example of the use of mobile, Doppler radar data for tornado verification. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 884–891.

      Feuerstein, B., N. Dotzek, and J. Grieser, 2005: Assessing a tornado climatology from global tornado intensity distributions. J. Climate, 18, 585–596.

      Fujita, T. T., 1989: The Teton–Yellowstone tornado of 21 July 1987. Mon. Wea. Rev. , 117, 1913–1940.

      ——, 1987: U.S. Tornadoes, Part I: 70-year statistics. Satellite and Meteorology Research Paper, 218, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, 122 pp. NTIS PB 87-127742.

      ——, 1977: Anticyclonic tornadoes. Weatherwise, 30 (2), 51–64.

      ——, 1974: Jumbo tornado outbreak of 3 April 1974. Weatherwise, 27, 116–126.

      ——, 1966: Aerial survey of the Palm Sunday tornadoes of April 11, 1965. Satellite and Meteorology Research Paper, 49, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 35 pp.

      ——, D. L. Bradbury, and C. F. Van Thullenar, 1970: Palm Sunday tornadoes of April 11, 1965. Mon. Wea. Rev. , 98, 29–69.

      Gensini, V. A., and A. Marinaro, 2016: Tornado frequency in the United States related to global relative angular momentum. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 801–810.

      Grazulis, T. P., 1997: Significant Tornadoes: Update, 1992–1995. Environmental Films, 118 pp.

      Grazulis, T. P., 1993: Significant Tornadoes: 1680–1991. Environmental Films, 1326 pp.

      Kis, A. K. and J. M. Straka, 2010: Nocturnal tornado climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 545–561.

      Lemon, L. R. and M. Umscheid, 2008: The Greensburg, Kansas tornadic storm: A storm of extremes. Preprints, 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.4.

      Ostuno, E. J., 2008: A case study in forensic meteorology: Investigating the 3 April 1956 tornadoes in southwest Lower Michigan. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 3 (1), 1–33.

      Ray, P. S., P. Bieringer, X. Niu, and B. Whissel, 2003: An improved estimate of tornado occurrence in the central plains of the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1026–1031.

      Schaefer, J. T., and C. Marzban, 2000: Tornadoes in the United States as related to the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL.

      ——, and R. Edwards, 1999: The SPC tornado/severe thunderstorm database. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603–606.

      Schneider, R. S., J. T. Schaefer, and H. E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado outbreak days: An updated and expanded climatology (1875–2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P5.1.

      ——, H. E. Brooks, and J. T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado outbreak day sequences: historic events and climatology (1875–2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 12.1.

      Shafer, C. M., and C. A. Doswell III, 2011: Using kernel density estimation to identify, rank, and classify severe weather outbreak events. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (2), 1–28.

      Speheger, D. A., C. A. Doswell III., and G. J. Stumpf, 2002: The tornadoes of 3 May 1999: Event verification in central Oklahoma and related issues. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 362–381.

      Straka, J. M., and K. M. Kanak, 2022: A climatology of long-track tornadoes. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2(5), 1–49.

      Taszarek, M., J. T. Allen, P. Groenemeijer; R. Edwards; H. E. Brooks; V. Chmielewski; and S.-E. Enno, 2020: Severe convective storms across Europe and the United States. Part 1: Climatology of lightning, large hail, severe wind, and tornadoes. J. Climate, 33, 10239–10261.

      Thompson, D. T., and P. E. Roundy, 2013: The relationship between the Madden-Julian oscillation and U.S. violent tornado outbreaks in the spring. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 2087–2095.

      Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 682–699.

      ——, and M. D. Vescio, 1998: The Destruction Potential Index — A method for comparing tornado days. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Minneapolis, 280–282.

      Trapp, R. J., 2014: On the significance of multiple consecutive days of tornado activity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 1452–1459.

      ——, and H. E. Brooks, 2013: Regional characterization of tornado activity. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 654–659.

      ——, G. J. Stumpf, and K. L. Manross, 2005: A reassessment of the percentage of tornadic mesocyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 680–687.

      ——, S. A. Tessendorf, E. S. Godfrey, and H. E. Brooks, 2005: Tornadoes from squall lines and bow echoes. Part I: Climatological distribution. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 23–34.

      Verbout, S. M., H. E. Brooks, L. M. Leslie, and D. M. Schultz, 2006: Evolution of the U.S. tornado database: 1954–2003. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 86–93.

      Weaver, S. J., S. Baxter, and A. Kumar, 2012: Climatic role of North American low-level jets on U.S. regional tornado activity. J. Climate, 25, 6666–6683.

      Weiss, S. J., 1987: Some climatological aspects of forecasting tornadoes associated with tropical cyclones. Preprints, 17th Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteor., Amer. Meteor. Soc., Miami, 160–163.

      Widen, H. M., and Coauthors, 2013: Adjusted tornado probabilities. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (7), 1–12.

    TORNADO & SUPERCELL FORECASTING & WARNING

      Anderson-Frey, A. K., Y. P. Richardson, A. R. Dean, R. L. Thompson, and B. T. Smith, 2019: Characteristics of tornado events and warnings in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1017–1034.

      ——, ——, ——, ——, and ——, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397–1412.

      ——, ——, ——, ——, and ——, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771–1790.

      Baerg, B. M., W. P. Gargan, A. E. Cohen, R. L. Thompson, B. T. Smith, A. P. Gerard, C. J. Schultz, L. A. Kelly, and H. V. Nepaul, 2020: Radar-based, storm-scale circulation and tornado-probability tendencies preceding tornadogenesis in Kansas and Nebraska. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 15 (3), 1–23.

      Banacos, P. C., and M. L. Ekster, 2010: The association of the elevated mixed layer with significant severe weather events in the northeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1082–1102.

      ——, ——, J. W. Dellicarpini, and E. J. Lyons, 2012: A multiscale analysis of the 1 June 2011 Northeast U.S. severe weather outbreak and associated Springfield, Massachusetts tornado. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 7 (7), 1–40.

      Bentley, E. S., R.L. Thompson, B. R. Bowers, J. G. Gibbs, and S. E. Nelson, 2021: An analysis of 2016–18 tornadoes and National Weather Service tornado warnings across the contiguous United States. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1909–1924.

      Beveridge, S. L., J. L. Houser, and S. R. Marzola, 2019: A statistical evaluation of tornado-production tendencies of southernmost supercells compared to adjacent supercells in a north-south-oriented line. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 14 (1), 1–33.

      Blanchard, D.O., 2011: Supercells in environments with atypical hodographs. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 1075–1083.

      Blumberg, W. G., K. T. Halbert, T. A. Supinie*, P. T. Marsh, R. L. Thompson, and J. A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

      Brotzge, J., S.E. Nelson, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2013: Tornado probability of detection and lead time as a function of convective mode and environmental parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1261–1262.

      ——, K. Hondl, B. Philips, L.R. Lemon, E.J. Bass, D. Rude, and D.L. Andra Jr., 2010: Evaluation of distributed collaborative adaptive sensing for detection of low-level circulations and implications for severe weather warning operations. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 173–189.

      Brown, M. C., C. J. Nowotarski, A. R. Dean, B. T. Smith, R. L. Thompson, and J. M. Peters, 2021: The early evening transition in southeastern U.S. tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1431–1452.

      Bunker, R.C., A.E. Cohen, J.A. Hart, A.E. Gerard, K.E. Klockow-McClain, and D.P. Nowicki, 2019: Examination of the predictability of nocturnal tornado events in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 467–479.

      Bunkers, M.J., D.A. Barber, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and J.M. Garner, 2014: Choosing a universal mean wind for supercell motion prediction. NWA Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 2 (11), 115–129.

      ——, B.A. Klimowski, J.W. Zeitler, R.L. Thompson, and M.L. Weisman, 2000: Predicting supercell motion using a new hodograph technique. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 61–79.

      ——, M.R. Hjelmfelt, and P.L. Smith, 2006: An observational examination of long-lived supercells. Part I: Characteristics, evolution, and demise. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 673–688.

      ——, J.S. Johnson, L.J. Czepyha, J.M. Grzywacz, B.A. Klimowski, and M.R. Hjelmfelt, 2006: An observational examination of long-lived supercells. Part II: Environmental conditions and forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 689–714.

      Burgess, D.W., R. J. Donaldson Jr., and P. R. Desrochers, 1993: Tornado detection and warning by radar. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 203–221.

      Carlaw, L. B., J. A. Brotzge, and F. H. Carr, 2015: Investigating the impacts of assimilating surface observations on high-resolution forecasts of the 15 May 2013 tornado event. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 10 (2), 1–34.

      Cohen, A.E., 2010: Indices of violent tornado environments. NWA Electronic J. Operational Meteor., 2010-EJ-6.

      ——, J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating tornado probability and tornado wind speed based on statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1099–1108.

      Coleman, T.A., A.W. Lyza, K.R. Knupp, K. Laws, and W. Wyatt, 2018: A significant tornado in a heterogeneous environment during VORTEX-SE. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 13 (2), 1-25.

      Craven, J.P., and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Baseline climatology of sounding derived parameters associated with deep, moist convection. Natl. Wea. Dig., 28, 13–24.

      Davies, J.M., 2017: Meteorological setting for a catastrophic event: The deadly Joplin tornado of 22 May 2011. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 12 (3), 1–23.

      ——, 2006: Tornadoes in environments with small helicity and/or high LCL heights. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 579–594.

      ——, 2006: Tornadoes with cold core 500-mb lows. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 1051–1062.

      ——, 2004: Estimations of CIN and LFC associated with tornadic and nontornadic supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 714–726.

      ——, and R.H. Johns, 1993: Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes. Part I: Helicity and mean shear magnitudes. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards (C. Church et al., Eds.), Geophysical Monograph 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 573–582.

      Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2008: Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 9A.2.

      ——, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

      Doswell, C. A. III, 1982: The operational meteorology of convective weather. Vol. I: Operational mesoanalysis. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC_5.

      ——, 1985: The operational meteorology of convective weather. Vol. II: Storm-scale analysis. NOAA Tech. Memo. ERL ESG-15.

      ——, and D. M. Schultz, 2006: On the use of indices and parameters in forecasting severe storms. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 1(3), 1–22.

      ——, D. V. Baker, and C. A. Liles, 2002: Recognition of negative factors for severe weather potential: A case study. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 937–954.

      ——, S.J. Weiss and R.H. Johns (1993): Tornado forecasting: A review. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards (C. Church et al., Eds), Geophys. Monogr. No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 557–571.

      ——, 1991: A Review for Forecasters on the Application of Hodographs to Forecasting Severe Thunderstorms. Nat. Wea. Dig , 16, No. 1, 2–16.

      Duda, J.D., and W.A. Gallus, 2010: Spring and summer Midwestern severe weather reports in supercells compared to other morphologies. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 190–206.

      Dunn, L.B., and S.V. Vasiloff, 2001: Tornadogenesis and operational considerations of the 11 August 1999 Salt Lake City tornado as seen from two different Doppler radars. Wea. Forecasting, 16, 377–398.

      Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy and M.D. Vescio, 2002: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544–558.

      ——, R.L. Thompson and J.G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60–63.

      Esterheld, J.M. and D.J. Giuliano, 2008: Discriminating between tornadic and non-tornadic supercells: A new hodograph technique. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 3 (2), 1–50.

      Fischer, A., and J. M. Davies, 2009: Significant nighttime tornadoes in the Plains associated with relatively stable low-level conditions. Electronic J. Operational Meteor., 10 (4), 1–33.

      Fujita, T.T., and D. Stiegler, 1985. Detailed analysis of the tornado outbreak in the Carolinas by using radar, satellite, and aerial survey data. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 271–274.

      Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, and S.R. Dembek, 2016: Forecasting tornadoes using convection-permitting ensembles. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 273–295.

      ——, ——, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443–460.

      ——, ——, ——, ——, ——, and mdash;—, 2019: Incorporating UH occurrence time to ensemble-derived tornado probabilities. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 151–164.

      Garner, J.M., 2013: A study of synoptic-scale tornado regimes. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (3), 1–25.

      ——, 2012: Environments of significant tornadoes occurring within the warm sector versus those occurring along surface baroclinic boundaries. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 7 (5), 11–28.

      Grams, J.S., R.L. Thompson, D.V. Snively, J.A. Prentice, G.M. Hodges, and L.J. Reames, 2012: A climatology and comparison of parameters for significant tornado events in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 106–123.

      Gonski, R.F., B.P. Woods and W.D. Korotky, 1989: The Raleigh tornado — 28 November 1988. An operational perspective. Preprints, 12th Conf. Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 173–178.

      Hales, J.E. and M.D. Vescio, 1996: The March 1994 Tornado Outbreak in the Southeast U.S. from an SPC Perspective. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco CA, 32–36.

      Hart, J.A., and A.E. Cohen, 2016: The challenge of forecasting significant tornadoes from June to October using convective parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 2075–2084.

      ——, and ——, 2016: The Statistical Severe Convective Risk Assessment Model. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1697–1714.

      Houston, A.L., R.L. Thompson, and R. Edwards, 2008: The optimal bulk wind differential depth and the utility of the upper-tropospheric storm-relative flow for forecasting supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 825–837.

      Johns, R.H., J.M. Davies, and P.W. Leftwich, 1993: Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes. Part II: Variations in the combinations of wind and instability parameters. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction and Hazards, Geophys. Mongr., No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 583–590.

      ——, and C.A. Doswell III, 1992: Severe local storms forecasting. Wea. and Forecasting, 7, 588–612.

      Kay, M.P., and H.E. Brooks, 2000: Verification of probabilistic severe storm forecasts at the SPC. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 285–288.

      Keene, K.M., P.T. Schlatter, J.E. Hales, and H.E. Brooks, 2008: Evaluation of NWS watch and warning performance related to tornadic events. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P3.19.

      Kingfield, D. M., and J. G. LaDue, 2015: The relationship between automated low-level velocity calculations from the WSR-88D and maximum tornado intensity determined from damage surveys. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1125–1139.

      Klepatski, J. P., and S. M. Milrad, 2020: Composite analysis of cool-season Florida tornado outbreaks. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 15 (1), 1–34.

      Knupp, K. R., and Coauthors, 2014: Meteorological overview of the devastating 27 April 2011 tornado outbreak. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 1041–1062.

      Krocak, M. J., M. D. Flournoy, and H. E. Brooks, 2021: Examining subdaily tornado warning performance and associated environmental characteristics. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1779–1784.

      Krocak, M. J., and H. E. Brooks, 2021: The influence of weather watch type on the quality of tornado warnings and its implications for future forecasting systems. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1675–1680.

      Lanicci, J. M., and T. T. Warner, 1991: A synoptic climatology of the elevated mixed-layer inversion over the southern Great Plains. Part I: Structure, dynamics and seasonal evolution. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 181–197.

      ——, and ——, 1991: A synoptic climatology of the elevated mixed-layer inversion over the southern Great Plains. Part II: The life cycle of the lid. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 198–213.

      ——, and ——, 1991: A synoptic climatology of the elevated mixed-layer inversion over the southern Great Plains. Part III: Relationship to severe-storms climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 214–226.

      Lyza, A. W., M. D. Flournoy*, and E. N. Rasmussen, 2022: Observed characteristics of the tornadic supercells of 27-28 April 2011 in the Southeast United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 2883–2910.

      ——, R. Castro, E. Lenning, M. T. Friedlein, B. S. Borchardt, A. W. Clayton, and K. R. Knupp, 2019: A multi-platform reanalysis of the Kankakee Valley tornado cluster on 30 June 2014. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 14 (3), 1–64.

      ——, A. W. Clayton, K. R. Knupp, E. Lenning, M. T. Friedlein, R. Castro, and E. S. Bentley, 2017: Analysis of mesovortex characteristics, behavior, and interactions during the second 30 June-1 July 2014 Midwestern derecho event. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 12 (2), 1–-33.

      Maddox, R. A., M. S. Gilmore, C. A. Doswell III, R. H. Johns, C. A. Crisp, D. W. Burgess, J. A. Hart, and S. F. Piltz, 2013: Meteorological analyses of the Tri-State tornado event of March 1925. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (1), 1–27.

      Markowski, P.M., E.N. Rasmussen, and J.M. Straka, 1998: The occurrence of tornadoes in supercells interacting with boundaries during VORTEX-95. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 852–859.

      Mead, C.M., and R.L. Thompson, 2011: Environmental characteristics associated with nocturnal significant-tornado events in the central and southern Great Plains. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (6), 1–35.

      Moller, A.R., 2001: Severe local storms forecasting. Severe Convective Storms, Meteor. Monogr., No. 50, Amer. Meteor. Soc, 433–480, doi: 10.1175/0065-9401-28.50.433.

      ——, C.A. Doswell III, M.P. Foster, and G.R. Woodall, 1994: The operational recognition of supercell thunderstorm environments and storm structures. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 327–347.

      Obermeier, H.M. and M.R. Anderson, 2015: Verification and analysis of impact-based tornado warnings in the Central Region of the National Weather Service. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 10 (1), 1–20.

      Ostby, F.P., 1999: Improved accuracy in severe storm forecasting by the Severe Local Storms Unit during the last 25 years: Then versus now. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 526–543.

      Quoetone, E.M., D.A. Andra, Jr., and W.F. Bunting, 2000: Warning decision making process during the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1–4.

      Potvin, C.K., K.L. Elmore, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: Assessing the impacts of proximity sounding criteria on the climatology of significant tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 921–930.

      Ramsay, H. A., and C. A. Doswell III, 2005: A sensitivity study of hodograph-based methods for estimating supercell motion. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 954–970.

      Rasmussen, E. N., 2003: Refined supercell and tornado forecast parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 530–535.

      ——, and D.O. Blanchard, 1998: A baseline climatology of sounding-derived supercell and tornado forecast parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 1148–1164.

      ——, E.M., and J. M. Straka, 1998: Variations in supercell morphology. Part I: Observations of the role of upper-level storm-relative flow. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2406–2421.

      Ryzhkov, A.V., T.J. Schuur, D.W. Burgess, and D.S. Zrnic, 2005: Polarimetric tornado detection. J. Appl. Meteor., 44, 557–570.

      Roebber, P.J., D.M. Schultz, and R. Romero, 2002: Synoptic regulation of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 399–429.

      Rogash, J.A., and J.P. Racy, 2002: Some meteorological characteristics of significant tornado events occurring in proximity to flash flooding. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 155–159.

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    TORNADOES IN TROPICAL CYCLONES

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    TORNADO OBSERVATIONS, MEASUREMENT, SPOTTING AND CHASING

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    TORNADO AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS

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      Dowell, D. C., C. R. Alexander, J. M. Wurman, and L. J. Wicker, 2005: Centrifuging of hydrometeors and debris in tornadoes: Radar-reflectivity patterns and wind-measurement errors. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1501–1524.

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      Fujita, T. T., 1977: Anticyclonic tornadoes. Weatherwise, 30, 51–64.

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      Gilmore, M. S., and L. J. Wicker, 1998: The influence of midtropospheric dryness on supercell morphology and evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 943–958.

      Kennedy, A., J. M. Straka, and E. N. Rasmussen, 2007: A statistical study of the association of DRCs with supercells and tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1191–1199.

      Klemp, J.B., 1987: Dynamics of tornadic thunderstorms. Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech., 19, 369–402.

      Kosiba, K., and J. M. Wurman, 2013: The three-dimensional structure and evolution of a tornado boundary layer. Mon. Wea. Rev., 28, 1552–1561.

      Kumjian, M. R., 2011: Precipitation properties of supercell hook echoes. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (5), 1–21.

      Lee, W.-C., and J. Wurman, 2005: The diagnosed structure of the Mulhall tornado. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2373–2393.

      Lemon, L.R., and C.A. Doswell III, 1979: Severe thunderstorm evolution and mesocyclone structure as related to tornadogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1184–1197.

      Lewellen, D.C., B. Gong, and W.S. Lewellen, 2008: Effects of finescale debris on near-surface tornado dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 3247–3262.

      ——, and W.S. Lewellen, 2007: Near-surface vortex intensification through corner flow collapse. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2195–2209.

      Lewellen, W. S., 1993: Tornado vortex theory. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards (C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell, R. Davies-Jones, Eds.), Geophys. Monogr. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 19–39.

      Markowski, P. M., 2024: A new pathway for tornadogenesis exposed by numerical simulations of supercells in turbulent environments. J. Atmos. Sci., 81, 481–518.

      ——, and Y. P. Richardson, 2014: The influence of environmental low-level shear and cold pools on tornadogenesis: Insights from idealized simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 243–275.

      ——, and ——, 2009: Tornadogenesis: Our current understanding, forecasting considerations, and questions to guide future research. Atmos. Res., 93, 3–10.

      Nolan, D. S., 2013: On the use of Doppler radar-derived wind fields to diagnose the secondary circulations of tornadoes. J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 1160–1171.

      ——, and B. F. Farrell, 1999: The structure and dynamics of tornado-like vortices. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2908–2936.

      ——, N. A. Dahl, G. H. Bryan, and R. Rotunno, 2017: Tornado vortex structure, intensity, and surface wind gusts in large-eddy simulations with fully developed turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1573–1597.

      Rasmussen, E. M., and J. M. Straka, 1998: Variations in supercell morphology. Part I: Observations of the role of upper-level storm-relative flow. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2406–2421.

      Rotunno, R., 2013: The fluid dynamics of tornadoes. Annu. Rev. Fluid Mech., 45, 59–84.

      ——, 1979: A study of tornado-like vortex dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 140–155.

      ——, 1986: Tornadoes and tornadogenesis. Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting (P.S. Ray, Ed.), Amer. Meteor. Soc., 414–436.

      ——, and J. B. Klemp, 1985: On the rotation and propagation of simulated supercell thunderstorms. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 271–292.

      ——, G. H. Bryan, D. S. Nolan, and N. A. Dahl, 2016: Axisymmetric tornado simulations at high Reynolds number. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 3843–3854.

      Schumacher, P. N., and J. M. Boustead, 2011: Mesocyclone evolution essociated with varying shear profiles during the 24 June 2003 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 808–827.

      Straka, J. M., E. N. Rasmussen, R. P. Davies-Jones, and P. M. Markowski, 2007: An observational and idealized numerical examination of low-level counter-rotating vortices in the rear flank of supercells. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2(8), 1–22.

      Trapp, R. J., and R. P. Davies-Jones, 1997: Tornadogenesis with and without a dynamic pipe effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 113–133.

      Wakimoto, R. M., P. Stauffer, W.-C. Lee, N. T. Atkins, and J. Wurman, 2012: Finescale structure of the LaGrange, Wyoming, tornado during VORTEX2: GBVTD and photogrammetric analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3397–3418.

      ——, and J. W. Wilson, 1989: Non-supercell tornadoes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1113–1140.

      Ward, N.B., 1972: The exploration of certain features of tornado dynamics using a laboratory model. J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 1194–1204.

      Wurman, J., K. Kosiba, P. Robinson, and T. P. Marshall, 2014: The role of multiple-vortex tornado structure in causing storm researcher fatalities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 31–45

      ——, 2002: The multiple vortex structure of a tornado. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 473–505.

    TORNADO PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE

      Aguirre, B. E., 1988: The lack of warnings before the Saragosa tornado. Int. J. Mass Emerg. Disasters, 6, 65–74.

      Ash, K., M. Egnoto, S. M. Strader, W. Ashley, D. Roueche, K. Klockow-McClain, D. Caplen, and M. Dickerson, 2020: Structural forces: Perception and vulnerability factors for tornado sheltering within mobile and manufactured housing in Alabama and Mississippi, USA. Wea. Climate Soc., 12, 453–472.

      Ashley, W. S., and S. M. Strader, 2016: Recipe for disaster: How the dynamic ingredients of risk and exposure are changing the tornado disaster landscape. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 767–786.

      ——, A. J. Krmenec, and R. Schwantes, 2008: Vulnerability due to nocturnal tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 795–807.

      ——, 2007: Spatial and temporal analysis of tornado fatalities in the United States: 1880–2005. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1214–1228.

      Biddle, M. D., 2000: Warning response and risk behavior in the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City long track violent tornado. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 650–653.

      Blair, S. F., and E. P. K. Lunde, 2010: Tornadoes impacting Interstates: Service and societal considerations. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 5 (4), 1–16.

      Brooks, H. E., C. A. Doswell III, and D. Sutter, 2008: Comments: Low-level winds in tornadoes and potential catastrophic tornado impacts in urban areas. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 87–90.

      Brotzge, J., and W. Donner, 2013: The tornado warning process: A review of current research, challenges, and opportunities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 1715–1733.

      ——, and S. Erickson, 2010: Tornadoes without NWS warning. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 159–172.

      ——, and ——, 2009: NWS tornado warnings with zero or negative lead times. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 140–154.

      Brown, S., P. Archer, E. Kruger, and S. Mallonee, 2002: Tornado-related deaths and injuries in Oklahoma due to the 3 May 1999 tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 343–353.

      Buckley, J.W., 2002: After the storm: Building a safe shelter for the school children of Mulhall, Oklahoma. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 626–634.

      Daley, W. R., S. Brown, P. Archer, E. Kruger, F. Jordan, D. Batts, and S. Mallonee, 2005: Risk of tornado-related death and injury in Oklahoma, May 3, 1999. Amer. J. Epidemiol., 161, 1144–1150.

      Dewitt, B., B. Fischhoff, A. Davis, and S. B. Broomell, 2015: Environmental risk perception from visual cues: The psychophysics of tornado risk perception. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 124009.

      Drost, R., M. Casteel, J. Libarkin, S. Thomas, and M. Meister, 2016: Severe weather warning communication: Factors impacting audience attention and retention of information during tornado warnings. Wea. Clim. Soc., 8, 361–372.

      Edwards, R., and L. R. Lemon, 2002: Proactive or reactive? The severe storm threat to large event venues. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

      Hammer, B.O., and T. W. Schmidlin, 2002: Response to warnings during the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornado: Reasons and relative injury rates. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 577–581.

      Krocak, M.J., J.N. Allan, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2021: target="_blank">An Analysis of tornado warning reception and response across time: Leveraging respondents' confidence and a nocturnal tornado climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1649–1660.

      Legates, D. R., and M. D. Biddle, 1999: Warning response and risk behavior in the Oak Grove–Birmingham, Alabama, tornado of 8 April 1998. Natural Hazards Center Quick Response Report 116.

      Marshall, T. P., 2000: Damage survey of the Moore, Oklahoma tornado. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5–8.

      Obermeier, H. M. and M. R. Anderson, 2015: Verification and analysis of impact-based tornado warnings in the Central Region of the National Weather Service. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 10 (1), 1–20.

      Quoetone, E. M., D. A. Andra, Jr., and W. F. Bunting, 2000: Warning decision making process during the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1–4.

      Rae, S., and J. Stefkovich, 2000: The tornado damage risk assessment: Predicting the impact of a big outbreak in Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas. 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 295–296.

      Ripberger, J. T., C. L. Silva, H. C. Jenkins-Smith, and M. James, 2015: The influence of consequence-based messages on public responses to tornado warnings. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 577–590.

      Rothfusz, L. P., 2000: National Weather Service warnings: Comparing expectations with reality. 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 311–314.

      Schmidlin, T. W., P. S. King, B. O. Hammer, and Y. Ono, 1998: Risk factors for death in the 22–23 February 1998 Florida tornadoes. Natural Hazards Center Quick Response Report 106.

      ——, B.O. Hammer, Y. Ono, and P. King, 2000: Tornado shelter-seeking behavior and shelter options among mobile home residents. 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 301–302.

      Schultz, D.M., E.C. Gruntfest, M.H. Hayden, C.C. Benight, S. Drobot, and L.R. Barnes, 2010: Decision making by Austin, Texas, residents in hypothetical tornado scenarios. Wea. Climate Soc., 2, 249–254.

      Schumacher, R.S., D.T. Lindsey, A.B. Schumacher, J. Braun, S.D. Miller, and J.L. Demuth, 2010: Multidisciplinary analysis of an unusual tornado: Meteorology, climatology, and the communication and interpretation of warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1412–1429.

      Sherman-Morris, K., 2009: Tornado warning dissemination and response at a university campus. Nat. Hazards, 52, 623–638.

      Simmons, K.M., and D. Sutter, 2008: Tornado warnings, lead times, and tornado casualties: An empirical investigation. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 246–258.

      Strader, S.M., A. Haberlie, and A. Loitz, 2021: Assessment of NWS county warning area tornado risk, exposure, and vulnerability. Wea. Climate Soc., 12, 189–209.

      ——, and W. Ashley, 2018: Fine-scale assessment of mobile home tornado vulnerability in the Central and Southeast U.S. Wea. Climate Soc., 10, 797–812.

      ——, ——, T. Pingel, and A. Krmenec, 2018: How land use alters the tornado disaster landscape. Appl. Geog. 94, 18–29.

      ——, ——, ——, and ——, 2017: Observed and projected changes in United States tornado exposure. Wea. Climate Soc., 9, 109–123.

      ——, and ——, 2015: The expanding bull's eye effect. Weatherwise 68, 23–29.

      Trainor, J.E., D. Nagele, B. Philips, and B. Scott, 2015: Tornadoes, social science, and the false alarm effect. Wea. Climate Soc., 7, 333–352.

      Wood, V.T., and R.A. Weisman, 2000: Impact of severe weather warnings on the hearing imparied. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 303–306.

      Wurman, J., C. Alexander, P. Robinson, and Y. Richardson, 2007: Low-level winds in tornadoes and potential catastrophic tornado impacts in urban areas. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 31–46.

      ——, ——, ——, and ——, 2008: Reply to Comments: Low-level winds in tornadoes and potential catastrophic tornado impacts in urban areas. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 90–94.

    OTHER REFERENCES

      American Meteorological Society (AMS), 2000: Glossary of Meteorology. 855 pp.


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