Jan 30, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 30 19:06:05 UTC 2025 (20250130 1930Z Day 3 shapefile | 20250130 1930Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
1930 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20250130 1930 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 301906

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0106 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm potential across the United States appears low on
   Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...

   A low-amplitude, mostly zonal upper flow regime will emerge across
   the CONUS on Saturday. A baroclinic zone will weaken, while a
   surface front dissipates over the western Atlantic and FL Peninsula.
   A few showers are possible over the FL Peninsula, especially near
   the east coast as this occurs, but thunderstorm activity should be
   limited due to poor thermodynamics, and weakening ascent and
   vertical shear. 

   Moist, onshore flow will stream over the Pacific Northwest and
   northern Rockies as a surface cold front develops east across the
   region. Showers/low-topped convection with a couple of lightning
   flashes may occur near coastal WA/OR into the northern Rockies given
   cold midlevel temperatures and steep lapse rates. However, coverage
   is expected to be less than 10 percent.

   ..Leitman.. 01/30/2025

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z