Jan 1, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 1 17:02:51 UTC 2025 (20250101 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20250101 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20250101 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20250101 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20250101 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20250101 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 011702

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1102 AM CST Wed Jan 01 2025

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Moderate to strong northwest flow aloft will exist across the CONUS
   on Thursday, extending from an upper ridge over the West Coast to
   the East Coast. As this western ridge shifts eastward, a tightening
   midlevel thermal gradient will develop over the Plains, with a minor
   trough amplification from the Mid/Lower MS Valley into the
   Southeast.

   At the surface, high pressure will maintain a stable air mass over
   land, with any appreciable instability over the western Gulf of
   Mexico. As the upper wave develops, lift will increase across
   portions of the northern Gulf Coast after 00Z, with precipitation
   developing. It still appears that any weak elevated instability may
   be insufficient for thunderstorms over land, but a isolated flash
   cannot be ruled out near the TX/LA Coasts.

   ..Jewell.. 01/01/2025

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z